Does Trump Have a Single Chance to Win?

OP just google for images of hilarys rallies, then compare them to images of trump rallies.

The winner is obvious. Dont worry about the lies you read from the rigged media. Just use your eyes.

Should be obvious when u see hilarys rallies, with 30 people in attendence, that her 50% support numbers in the polls is bullshit.

Hilary will go down in flames. Then shes going to jail.

Only if the rigged voting machines are removed from the swing states, he has far more supporters, so yes he would win in an honest election

Across the US and Europe, things are changing.

The working call and lower middle class are getting poorer while the upper middle class and wealthy get richer. This is without the huge growth of unemployed.

Add costs of living and it's clear most are suffering. Trump, UKIP, Le Penn, etc. In offering the only solution.

Controlled migration and stopping the flow of jobs to the Third World.

Trump might not win this time, but will his standing for election wake up the US masses to vote for people who will stand up for them. In Europe it's already happening.

But because work goes to the third world we can buy cheap electonics and clothes. People don't want to pay more for that, only less. In Holland most people buy cheap cars cause Holland has an extra tax on cars. Whole Holland could drive BMW, instead of a cheap car from Taiwan, if they stopped the 30-50% extra import tax... Would be better for environment (much cleaner), safety and comfort.

I already do. I hate the Dutch Queen Gretta Van Whogivesashit.

the short answer is no

as of today if trump loses any ONE of these states he loses the election

GA, NC, PA, FL, OH

all are very close and many are favoring Hillary so barring a HUGE October surprise he hasnt a chance.

Trump's chance to win is extremely narrow. There is a very small chance but it's not very likely.

It would be extremely unlikely if Trump won.

The United States does not have a direct vote for selecting the president. Rather, the Electoral College actually selects the president. When citizens cast their votes, their votes are tallied to select an elector for their voting district. Most states try to award their electoral votes proportionally, but a couple are winner take all states.

For the most part, states get to set up their electoral districts however they would like- Though this is supposed to be done without bias, in reality, many states have such skewed districts that it is possible for only one party to actually win in that state, regardless of how the majority actually votes.

In fact, with the Electoral College, it is very possible to have a candidate receive more votes form citizens, winning the popular vote, but still loose the electoral vote. This happened in 2000 in Bush vs Gore. More people voted for Al Gore overall, but ultimately Bush received more electoral votes and won the presidency.

It is impossible to calculate Trump's chances of winning without some bias. You can't base predictions off of a single poll, rather you need to look at all polling data from various polls, and match that data to statistical models which vary greatly in how accurate they are.

Most voters in the US will always vote democrat or always vote republican, no matter who the candidate is or what platform they are supporting. What usually decides an election is which side can get their supporters to the polls effectively. If you aren't strongly motivated to cast a ballot, it may be easier to stay at home, instead of put up with the hassle of getting out and actually voting.

This only accounts for about a 5% difference, at most. Then, when you factor in the electoral college, realistically only about 2.5% of voters have any real say in the outcome of a presidential election. So the margins between winning and loosing, even in a "landslide" election, are really pretty narrow.

Trying to be fair, looking at polling data and statistical modeling, various election simulations looking at different ups and downs, and modeling based on past elections, Trump has about a 12% chance of winning the electoral college, and thus winning the presidency. This is based on historical models to account for last minute circumstances and how they might shift the polls. Looking only at the popular vote, he has a less than 2% chance of winning that.

lol get lost, he is losing in a landslide

Republicans have won almost every race in the last how many years and now they are gonna get an ass kicking and everything is rigged

He doesn't have more supporters, he has more crazy ones with free time on their hands because they don't have jobs

Again with the rallies...rallies where Trump makes excuses for losing and talks to the people that were gonna vote for him anyway. Nice strategy

Were you surprised by the Brexit results? Prepare to be surprised again.

apples and oranges

I don't think so. In the case of Brexit you had a voting majority that was politically invisible largely due to their lack of online presence. Same situation in the USA.