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-   -   will Newt win the GOP war of attrition and get the 75% Mitt can't? (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1044795)

crockett 11-08-2011 04:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BFT3K (Post 18543078)
Gay Marriage - Abortion - Religion - DADT - etc.

Social Issues seem to be the ONLY agenda the GOP has!


It's always funny how they claim to want smaller govt and no social stuff but then half of their campaigns revolve around the govt telling adults what they can and can't do.. lol go figure..

crockett 11-08-2011 04:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by uno (Post 18543921)
I was hoping this was a poll.

Barring that, no. Mitt will win the nom. If you don't think so you are most likely delusional.

The problem with Mitt is he tries to hide from himself. He did a decent job here in Mass as Gov and also created a pretty good working health care system for this stat. Yet he panders to the right no socialism stuff and tries to be what they want, instead of what he is.

TBH he might of had a chance running as a democrat in the last election (not this one) by running on his history in Mass as gov, but he just turns into a flip flopper trying to be wonder boy for the right. While he might get the GOP ticket, I can't see him beating Obama.

Mutt 11-08-2011 04:26 AM

it's Romney, and he loses. Sarah Palin would have a better chance - would have been fun to watch because you know there'd be gaffes of epic proportions along the way that would be her undoing. Romney seems like the Republican's version of Michael Dukakis.

Jeb Bush but for the baggage of Dubya at this point could have beaten Obama if things don't improve.

but just amazing that a country of 330 million people, still the most powerful country on the planet and the best both parties can find to run for the title of 'most powerful man on the planet' is this bunch of mediocre career politicians. maybe it was always this way, and it's just as you get older you realize what type of person goes into politics and it most certainly isn't the best and the brightest.

i like Pat Buchanan, heard him interviewed the other day, has a new book out - made total sense to me.

kane 11-08-2011 05:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 18544168)
The problem with Mitt is he tries to hide from himself. He did a decent job here in Mass as Gov and also created a pretty good working health care system for this stat. Yet he panders to the right no socialism stuff and tries to be what they want, instead of what he is.

TBH he might of had a chance running as a democrat in the last election (not this one) by running on his history in Mass as gov, but he just turns into a flip flopper trying to be wonder boy for the right. While he might get the GOP ticket, I can't see him beating Obama.

I think right now he is just pandering to the right in hopes of getting the nomination. Right now they are all trying to out-conservative each other. If he gets the nomination he will likely shift to the center. The right hates Obama so much that Mitt won't have to cater to many of them in order to get their votes so if he can come off like a moderate that can fix the economy he could have a shot.

Still, I have said all along the election is in Obama's hands. If we are a month out of the election and the economy is growing and unemployment has dropped a decent amount from where it is now Obama will be almost unbeatable. However, if things are still shitty, he is vulnerable.

nation-x 11-08-2011 06:21 AM

http://www.redstate.com/erick/2011/1...ck-obama-wins/

I found this paragraph hilarious... considering that Erickson works for CNN..
Quote:

Mit Romney will not go on Special Report with Brett Baier to answer the tough questions as the other candidates have done. No worries. Conservatives will bitch and moan for a few days and Romney will claim it was a scheduling issue, he?d always meant to go on, and he will go on.
Quote:

Why Mitt Romney Will Not Beat Barack Obama

You?d think that given the economy, jobs, and the present angst about the direction of the country that the GOP would have an easy path to victory. You would be wrong.

You forget the electoral college. The vote is coming down to a handful of states and Barack Obama still maintains the advantage of incumbency and not terribly terrible polling in those swing states.

Mitt Romney, on the other hand, is a man devoid of any principles other than getting himself elected. As much as the American public does not like Barack Obama, they loath a man so fueled with ambition that he will say or do anything to get himself elected. Mitt Romney is that man.

I?ve been reading the 200 pages of single spaced opposition research from the John McCain campaign on Mitt Romney. There is no issue I can find on which Mitt Romney has not taken both sides. He is neither liberal nor conservative. He is simply unprincipled. The man has no core beliefs other than in himself. You want him to be tough? He?ll be tough. You want him to be sensitive? He?ll be sensitive. You want him to be for killing the unborn? He?ll go all in on abortion rights until he wants to run for an office where it is not in his advantage.

Along the way, he?ll drop lots of coin to grease the skids for himself. Mitt Romney is the silly putty of politicians ? press on him real hard and he?ll take on whatever image you press into him until the next group starts pressing.

Republican billionaires have a fantastic track record of getting Republican opinion leaders to support them and an even better track record at losing elections. Mitt Romney will be no different.

To beat Barack Obama, a candidate must paint a bold contrast with the Democrats on their policies. When Mitt Romney tries, Barack Obama will be able to show that just the other day Mitt Romney held exactly the opposite position as the one he holds today.

Voters may not like Barack Obama, but by the time Obama is done with Romney they will not trust Mitt Romney. And voters would rather the guy they don?t like than they guy they don?t trust.

cherrylula 11-08-2011 07:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wizzo (Post 18542943)
Newt, has a better chance with the Religious Right then Romney. They would prefer a divorced Christian over a moral Mormon... that's just how they roll... :winkwink:

http://thyblackman.com/wp-content/up...esussacred.jpg

ideal republican candidate ^ only way to beat Obama

cherrylula 11-08-2011 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18542968)
Thats why you hear virtually nothing about social values, abortion, etc. in this economic climate, no one gives a fuck about them.

Oh how I wish this statement was correct. Seriously.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...318991554.html

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politi...ZuM_story.html

They will NEVER shutup about abortion in any election. Ever. I can honestly say I wish 12clicks was correct this time.

12clicks 11-16-2011 06:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by porno jew (Post 18542876)
out of touch with reality as usual.

shit, my bad, this troll was talking about himself.

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/2493...rontrunner.htm

"""A CNN/ORC Poll shows 22 percent of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican support Gingrich. With a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, this puts Gingrich at a tie with Romney. In a Public Policy Polling survey however, Gingrich pulls ahead of Romney altogether, leading with a full 10 percentage points."""

porno jew 11-16-2011 06:41 AM

gingrich is a ahead because his running mates are so epically sad and stupid, nothing to do with electability in the general election.

kane 11-16-2011 06:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by porno jew (Post 18563069)
gingrich is a ahead because his running mates are so epically sad and stupid, nothing to do with electability in the general election.

So far it has been like everyone has had their chance to be ahead. Mitt has been at around 25% since the start of the campaigning. First Bachman took the lead, then Perry, then Cain and now Newt. Once each of the previous people took the lead the public got to actually hear them speak and that was enough to doom them. I think Newt is smart enough to only say what needs to be said and not sound like an idiot. The question will be: will his past have too many skeletons for him to be able to survive them?

crockett 11-16-2011 06:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563062)
shit, my bad, this troll was talking about himself.

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/2493...rontrunner.htm

"""A CNN/ORC Poll shows 22 percent of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican support Gingrich. With a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, this puts Gingrich at a tie with Romney. In a Public Policy Polling survey however, Gingrich pulls ahead of Romney altogether, leading with a full 10 percentage points."""


Polls really mean nothing, when they are that close, added to this I really have a hard time thinking that Gingrich could be elected. He just has too much history and much of it is negative, he'd possibly do OK running with someone as a vice president but no way could he actually win the election at this point.

Neut would be a strong choice for a VP position I can give that much to him but his past is far to shaky for the top spot. The problem with that is there isn't any of the other candidates that would have a good chance in winning either.

I see both Romney & Neut as VP material but there isn't anyone in the bunch that I really think could beat Obama assuming he doesn't totally throw it away somehow.

12clicks 11-16-2011 06:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by porno jew (Post 18563069)
gingrich is a ahead because his running mates are so epically sad and stupid, nothing to do with electability in the general election.

I suggest you re-read the thread title and then let the adults have a conversation. you might learn something.

Relentless 11-16-2011 07:08 AM

Huntsman and or Bloomberg would have my vote.
The rest would be no better than Obama. If Hillary becomes a candidate she becomes very tough to beat in 2016 as well. This is the election cycle where the GOP needs to win or they will likely be locked out for a decade...

12clicks 11-16-2011 07:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Relentless (Post 18563120)
Huntsman and or Bloomberg would have my vote.
The rest would be no better than Obama. If Hillary becomes a candidate she becomes very tough to beat in 2016 as well. This is the election cycle where the GOP needs to win or they will likely be locked out for a decade...

how is newt more like obama than huntsman or bloomberg?

crockett 11-16-2011 07:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563138)
how is newt more like obama than huntsman or bloomberg?

Because Neut is of the Regan/Bush era.. they aren't conservative Republicans in the small govt less taxes sense but Right Wing do boys for the neo cons. It doesn't mean the guy isn't smart, but he is in the same boat as Regan & the Bushes whom practically ruined this country.

12clicks 11-16-2011 07:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 18563147)
Because Neut is of the Regan/Bush era.. they aren't conservative Republicans in the small govt less taxes sense but Right Wing do boys for the neo cons. It doesn't mean the guy isn't smart, but he is in the same boat as Regan & the Bushes whom practically ruined this country.

I'm guessing you're too young to remember Reagan.
I'm also guessing you're too young to remember the contract with America

crockett 11-16-2011 07:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563157)
I'm guessing you're too young to remember Reagan.
I'm also guessing you're too young to remember the contract with America

His contract meant nothing because it wasn't kept.

Regan was the first to turn into a social conservative while spending us into oblivion. Meaning he was of the new era of Republican that feels it's OK for the Govt to tell adults what they can and can't do, but are OK with irresponsible; govt spending as long as it's a corporation getting the funds and not some average Joe.

For some reason you Right Wingers see Regan as a hero, yet he was the beginning of the end of "true" conservative Republicans and the start of what is wrong with this country today.

12clicks 11-16-2011 07:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 18563225)
His contract meant nothing because it wasn't kept.

Regan was the first to turn into a social conservative while spending us into oblivion. For some reason you Right Wingers see Regan as a hero, yet he was the beginning of the end of "true" conservative Republicans.

spending is in the hands of the house, not the president.
Reagan tried to force cuts in spending by starving the beast. Because the house was democratically controlled, it didn't work.
When Newt controlled the house, spending was cut.
I understand that not being old enough to remember it first hand means you have to hear it second hand so it makes sense that you believe what you believe.
The facts, however, are much different.

nation-x 11-16-2011 08:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563230)
spending is in the hands of the house, not the president.
Reagan tried to force cuts in spending by starving the beast. Because the house was democratically controlled, it didn't work.
When Newt controlled the house, spending was cut.
I understand that not being old enough to remember it first hand means you have to hear it second hand so it makes sense that you believe what you believe.
The facts, however, are much different.

and budgets are introduced by Presidents.

nation-x 11-16-2011 08:07 AM

One of the things I will never understand about Republicans (con-servatives) is their lack of historical knowledge and their incessant need to either ignore facts AND history or to take facts and history and revise them to fit their narrative...

Here is a perfect example... (I will find some on Newt later)

Con-servatives like to say that Bush didn't cause the financial crisis and blame Barney Frank and Fannie and Freddie... that claim is revisionist... here is proof:


crockett 11-16-2011 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563230)
spending is in the hands of the house, not the president.
Reagan tried to force cuts in spending by starving the beast. Because the house was democratically controlled, it didn't work.
When Newt controlled the house, spending was cut.
I understand that not being old enough to remember it first hand means you have to hear it second hand so it makes sense that you believe what you believe.
The facts, however, are much different.


Humm and all this time I thought the President sent congress a Budget request and they argued within Congress for some time and finally the President signs it into law if he approves it. I guess Regan was absent when it came time to submit a request and sign for it? Odd I guess he was around enough to claim victory of the cold war though..

12clicks 11-16-2011 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nation-x (Post 18563259)
One of the things I will never understand about Republicans (con-servatives) is their lack of historical knowledge and their incessant need to either ignore facts AND history or to take facts and history and revise them to fit their narrative...

Here is a perfect example... (I will find some on Newt later)

Con-servatives like to say that Bush didn't cause the financial crisis and blame Barney Frank and Fannie and Freddie... that claim is revisionist... here is proof:


not sure how an affordable housing tax credit caused the damage that barney frank, freddie and fannie caused but I guess when you're a liberal, you'll grasp at any straw.

bronco67 11-16-2011 08:15 AM

We all know Cain is history. No one will vote for a man that obviously doesn't even bother to read a fucking newspaper. Or will they?

nation-x 11-16-2011 08:15 AM

As far as Newt

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-1...eddie-mac.html

nation-x 11-16-2011 08:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563279)
not sure how an affordable housing tax credit caused the damage that barney frank, freddie and fannie caused but I guess when you're a liberal, you'll grasp at any straw.

You didn't watch the video... that much is obvious by your reply

12clicks 11-16-2011 08:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 18563262)
Humm and all this time I thought the President sent congress a Budget request and they argued within Congress for some time and finally the President signs it into law if he approves it. I guess Regan was absent when it came time to submit a request and sign for it? Odd I guess he was around enough to claim victory of the cold war though..

and then they are amended, earmarked, etc.
Reagan did not have the line item veto.

12clicks 11-16-2011 08:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nation-x (Post 18563289)
You didn't watch the video... that much is obvious by your reply

sorry son, I did.

12clicks 11-16-2011 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nation-x (Post 18563286)

"""Gingrich?s business relationship with Freddie Mac spanned a period of eight years. When asked at the debate what he did to earn a $300,000 payment in 2006, the former speaker said he ?offered them advice on precisely what they didn?t do,? and warned the company that its lending practices were ?insane.?""""

nation-x 11-16-2011 08:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563303)
"""Gingrich’s business relationship with Freddie Mac spanned a period of eight years. When asked at the debate what he did to earn a $300,000 payment in 2006, the former speaker said he “offered them advice on precisely what they didn’t do,” and warned the company that its lending practices were “insane.”""""

As suspected... you eat the talking point and ignore the substance...
Quote:

Gingrich’s first contract with the mortgage lender was in 1999, five months after he resigned from Congress and as House speaker, according to a Freddie Mac press release.

His primary contact inside the organization was Mitchell Delk, Freddie Mac’s chief lobbyist, and he was paid a self- renewing, monthly retainer of $25,000 to $30,000 between May 1999 until 2002, according to three people familiar with aspects of the business agreement.

During that period, Gingrich consulted with Freddie Mac executives on a program to expand home ownership, an idea Delk said he pitched to President George W. Bush’s White House.

...

“I spent about three hours with him talking about the substance of the issues and the politics of the issues, and he really got it,” said Delk, adding that the two discussed “what the benefits are to communities, what the benefits could be for Republicans and particularly their relationship with Hispanics.”


nation-x 11-16-2011 08:33 AM

Bachmann has some interesting Gingrich clips in here...


12clicks 11-16-2011 08:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nation-x (Post 18563308)
As suspected... you eat the talking point and ignore the substance...

talking point.......hmmmmm.
like this?

"""The six items included a pledge to periodically issue subordinated debt, manage liquidity, undergo capital stress tests and expand various types of risk disclosures. Gingrich applauded the ideas, saying they would enable Freddie Mac to demonstrate benefits to the taxpayer, the person said."""



anyway, talking to a flaming liberal about the republican primary is a waste of time as they see anyone in favor of fiscal responsibility and paying your own way as the enemy.

crockett 11-16-2011 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563331)
see anyone in favor of fiscal responsibility and paying your own way as the enemy.

lol which Republican candidate is in favor of fiscal responsibility.. Come on 12clicks you really can't be this naive to still believe the same old BS that Republicans have been spewing out for the last 20 some odd years yet never manage to actually do it.

The only one even close is Ron Paul and he's looney as hell in regards to half the shit he says.

Republicans are no different than Democrats when it come to spending. The "only" difference is who gets the money. Fiscal responsibility to the current right wing means cutting welfare to the poor while doubling corporate welfare.

At least with the Democrats the people actually paying the taxes get something back instead of it just going to corporate America.

BFT3K 11-16-2011 08:43 AM

Newt's chance of becoming POTUS = ZERO

There is NO chance on earth that Newt will become the GOP frontrunner against Obama... absolutely NONE!

Obama supporters would love this match up, but it will never happen.

12clicks 11-16-2011 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 18563355)
At least with the Democrats the people actually paying the taxes get something back instead of it just going to corporate America.

:1orglaugh

vsex 11-16-2011 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 18563355)
lol which Republican candidate is in favor of fiscal responsibility.. Come on 12clicks you really can't be this naive to still believe the same old BS that Republicans have been spewing out for the last 20 some odd years yet never manage to actually do it.

The only one even close is Ron Paul and he's looney as hell in regards to half the shit he says.

Republicans are no different than Democrats when it come to spending. The "only" difference is who gets the money. Fiscal responsibility to the current right wing means cutting welfare to the poor while doubling corporate welfare.

At least with the Democrats the people actually paying the taxes get something back instead of it just going to corporate America.

QFT! :2 cents::thumbsup

nation-x 11-16-2011 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563331)
anyway, talking to a flaming liberal about the republican primary is a waste of time as they see anyone in favor of fiscal responsibility and paying your own way as the enemy.

See... this is where you lose the argument. Democrats ARE for fiscal responsibility... that is why they opposed the Bush Tax Cuts that led to record deficits. You can call Democrats "tax and spend" all you like but the facts say that Republicans are the biggest spenders by far. You don't have to take my word for it... take any number of Republicans who will say the same exact thing about the party... including the last two chairmen.

In my view, they are all guilty of wrongdoing... but, stacked side to side, The Republican share outweighs the Democrat share 2 to 1. Not to mention the fact that the Republican way to gain support for their cause is through lies and propaganda.

Relentless 11-16-2011 09:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 18563138)
how is newt more like obama than huntsman or bloomberg?

I didn't say newt is more like Obama (he is less like Obama), but he would be the same or worse than Obama in providing a positive impact on the country. The country needs a visionary capable of moving a large group of people in the same direction... not 50.01% of the people.... 80%+ of the people. Newt is divisive at best and a self-serving asshole when at his worst.

Bloomberg is the answer... unfortunately he appears to be too smart to run.:2 cents:

nation-x 11-16-2011 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Relentless (Post 18563392)
I didn't say newt is more like Obama (he is less like Obama), but he would be the same or worse than Obama in providing a positive impact on the country. The country needs a visionary capable of moving a large group of people in the same direction... not 50.01% of the people.... 80%+ of the people. Newt is divisive at best and a self-serving asshole when at his worst.

Bloomberg is the answer... unfortunately he appears to be too smart to run.:2 cents:

You know who had that kind of support? FDR when he raised taxes to 90%+ on the wealthy.

Relentless 11-16-2011 09:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nation-x (Post 18563414)
You know who had that kind of support? FDR when he raised taxes to 90%+ on the wealthy.

That's half true. He had that kind of support when he raised taxes coming out of a massive depression and world war. We no longer have massive depressions and world wars. Now we have lengthy recessions that pinch people just enough to harm them but not enough to make them revolt... and we have combat actions that are prolonged but use poor people and expensive weapons to reduce the visible impact they have on the middle class and the wealthy.

The wealthy are insulated from any harm AS LONG AS they make sure the poor and middle class are doing 'well enough' to prevent a revolt. It's when the greed becomes too rampant that the masses finally become motivated enough to get off their asses and do something. I don't see things getting 'bad enough' to turn that way, but the wealthy would be better off if they avoided getting as close to the line as they have in recent years.

Mass Poverty is always much worse for the rich than it is for the poor, the rich have much more to lose and mass poverty is what causes the poor to do something. As the saying goes, 'fat men won't fight' - and the rich benefit tremendously from keeping everyone fat enough to avoid getting off their couch and into the streets. :2 cents:

sweetcuties 11-16-2011 09:43 AM

cause many Republicans are close minded bigots and can't get past Romney being a Morman :2 cents:


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