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-   -   United Nations warns of possible ?collapse? of the U.S. dollar (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1024222)

wig 05-27-2011 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172067)

LOL @ Agora Financial. These guys have been the publisher of choice for every doomsday newsletter / guru / author since I started in investment banking in 1985.

Porter Stansberry, James Dale Davidson, et al and Agora are not lily white either:

http://pacer.ca4.uscourts.gov/opinion.pdf/081037.P.pdf

wig 05-27-2011 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172316)
Not really, if we collapsed, China would have a few hard years and emerge stronger than it ever could imagine because it's not bogged down by our debt in their vaults.

What does bogged down by our debt in their vaults mean?

Oh the burden of clipping those coupons. :disgust

.

Kiopa_Matt 05-27-2011 04:32 PM

There is going to be no sudden collapse of the US dollar. If that happened, many countries around the world would have to declare martial law to due mass riots, protests, looting, etc. Governments aren't going to let that happen.

All that's going to happen is a gradual and slow squeezing of the middle class around the world, which has been happening for decades. "Cooking oil went up by 8%? That's ok, I can still afford that", type of thing. That's what will continue happening.

There'll be no sudden change in anything. Governments can't afford to risk that big of a change, especially with the volatility right now. The people in control aren't stupid, and they know what they're doing. There's going to be no large sudden changes until they're 100% confident the general populous is weak enough to the point they can't revolt, hence the continuous and gradual squeezing of the middle class.

Redrob 05-27-2011 04:43 PM

Why do I find the image of the Chinese emporer fucking the Statue of Liberty a little disturbing?

The Demon 05-27-2011 05:08 PM

Oh noes I guess that means all agora charts are fake rofl. Stil waiting for the evidence that when adjusted for inflation, the market has increased since 2000.

TheDoc 05-27-2011 05:14 PM

http://www.inflationdata.com/inflati...YSE_Stocks.jpg

The Demon 05-27-2011 05:22 PM

June 2010 dollars lol? And the numbers have tanked since Obama has been elected. Not exactly what you wanted to prove eh?

Bill8 05-27-2011 05:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DudeRick (Post 18169407)
I' I'll take the Bush economy Back in a heartbeat! :321GFY

people do generally prefer being at the beginning and peak of a bubble economy.

it's cleaning it up after the bubble bursts that sucks.

using houses and mortgages as the basis of a bubble was a mistake that is going to be hurting us for some time yet.

TheDoc 05-27-2011 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172511)
June 2010 dollars lol? And the numbers have tanked since Obama has been elected. Not exactly what you wanted to prove eh?

Yeah? It's only 2011.... add the few %'s on for this year, now it looks like all the other years - almost matching.

Obama was elected in 08.... as we can see, nothing has tanked.

What did I say I was proving? You asked a question... you wanted a graph to show growth and that's what that chart shows. We can look at 2011 as well, it has only grown more.

The Demon 05-27-2011 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18172524)
Yeah? It's only 2011.... add the few %'s on for this year, now it looks like all the other years - almost matching.

Obama was elected in 08.... as we can see, nothing has tanked.

What did I say I was proving? You asked a question... you wanted a graph to show growth and that's what that chart shows. We can look at 2011 as well, it has only grown more.

there's no growth lol, if anything the dollar has tanked a lot the past year. Also I didn't say there's a connection between Obama and stock market going down just saying nice coincidence.

Bill8 05-27-2011 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kiopa_Matt (Post 18172440)
The people in control aren't stupid, and they know what they're doing. There's going to be no large sudden changes until they're 100% confident the general populous is weak enough to the point they can't revolt, hence the continuous and gradual squeezing of the middle class.

sounds accurate enough, altho that "control" probably isn't as complete and well thought out as one might think, and chaotic events and sudden crisis could still make all the people in control look like fools.

take the arab spring of rage for instance - that the underemployed young adults of the arab nations would eventually revolt was predictable, but that it would happen this year still surprised the sovereigns.

TheDoc 05-27-2011 05:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172531)
there's no growth lol, if anything the dollar has tanked a lot the past year. Also I didn't say there's a connection between Obama and stock market going down just saying nice coincidence.

No growth if you ignore everything and just claim no growth... then sure, no growth.

The dollar has tanked. That was pretty much was set to happen from the early 80's on but it became unstoppable once Bush unloaded 4 trillion into the cash flow, it was only a matter time before it dropped then.

The Demon 05-27-2011 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18172539)
No growth if you ignore everything and just claim no growth... then sure, no growth.

The dollar has tanked. That was pretty much was set to happen from the early 80's on but it became unstoppable once Bush unloaded 4 trillion into the cash flow, it was only a matter time before it dropped then.

or when Obama unleashed his epic fail stimulus. Also no, look at the chart again.

TheDoc 05-27-2011 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172541)
or when Obama unleashed his epic fail stimulus. Also no, look at the chart again.

Yeah all 400 billion killed us... :1orglaugh but the 1 trillion Bank of America got under Bush didn't do anything..... :1orglaugh

Aye I see the chart - it looks like Obama's stimulus stopped the major drop.

The Demon 05-27-2011 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18172547)
Yeah all 400 billion killed us... :1orglaugh but the 1 trillion Bank of America got under Bush didn't do anything..... :1orglaugh

Aye I see the chart - it looks like Obama's stimulus stopped the major drop.

LOL at 400 billion. Delusions and rationalizations Ftw:)

MrMaxwell 05-27-2011 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redrob (Post 18169957)
Minimize your exposure to cds, stocks and bonds that tie up your liquidity.

Invest in tangible goods that will hold their value and appreciate when the dollar falls such as cases of good whiskey. No matter how bad it gets, alcohol will always be a valuable commodity as means of escape and medicine. Don't buy overpriced and hyped brands, just good solid brands like Johnny Walker, Jim Beam, Southern Comfort. Be sure to store the crates properly.

Be aware of the inflated gold/silver bubble as the price of precious metals could collapse as well during a worldwide financial meltdown. Speculation has lead to the price increases, not that there is reduction in supply or mining has slowed.

Work to become debt free. First, eliminate any variable interest loans that you might have. Next, pay off any mortgages asap. Go to operating on a cash basis as much as possible. If you use credit cards, don't carry a balance.

Also, start securing your homestead with unbreakable storm doors, alarms, hidden safes, choices of weapons and ammo, emergency supplies and take some weapons handling and first aid courses. If possible, insure your access to fresh water by drilling a water well on your property or buying a still.

And these suggestions are just a beginning if you believe the economy is going to meltdown.

No Fear, Just Knowledge!:pimp




If you're readying yourself for a dollar failure scenario, why pay off all of your dollar debts? If the dollar falls.. and you owe your debts in dollars... will you not get anything you owe dollars on nearly for free?

Houdini 05-27-2011 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrMaxwell (Post 18172565)
If you're readying yourself for a dollar failure scenario, why pay off all of your dollar debts? If the dollar falls.. and you owe your debts in dollars... will you not get anything you owe dollars on nearly for free?

Actually, the opposite. Your debt amount doesn't go down, only the value of the currency. $1000 debt is still $1000, but it would be more of a burden to pay off any debts, since your purchasing power is much less.

Redrob 05-27-2011 06:48 PM

Especially if you have a variable interest loan and the rates go up to 25-30%.

Then you are screwed big time.

TheDoc 05-27-2011 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172555)
LOL at 400 billion. Delusions and rationalizations Ftw:)

Yeah, it's probably 400 billion total spent now with 150 billion in action, but up to the end of last year it was only like 300 billion spent (or so). I can't see it being that much more already. From what I understand, it wont all be spent now.... the States mismanaged the funds so badly, some of it was pulled.

Now if you thought it was more that than... it's not. The numbers are on several political fact/check sites and I think the gov even has a website that publishes the numbers.

By those charts, his stimulus package reversed the drop... or him simply becoming President was so powerful that it alone stopped the drop. :)

alias 05-27-2011 07:18 PM

Redrob is telling the truth.

JFK 05-27-2011 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by combson (Post 18170624)
Bad dollar is hurting international webmasters even more! :2 cents:

no shit:disgust

DWB 05-28-2011 01:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kiopa_Matt (Post 18172440)
There is going to be no sudden collapse of the US dollar. If that happened, many countries around the world would have to declare martial law to due mass riots, protests, looting, etc. Governments aren't going to let that happen.

All that's going to happen is a gradual and slow squeezing of the middle class around the world, which has been happening for decades. "Cooking oil went up by 8%? That's ok, I can still afford that", type of thing. That's what will continue happening.

There'll be no sudden change in anything. Governments can't afford to risk that big of a change, especially with the volatility right now. The people in control aren't stupid, and they know what they're doing. There's going to be no large sudden changes until they're 100% confident the general populous is weak enough to the point they can't revolt, hence the continuous and gradual squeezing of the middle class.


I don't know what will happen, but to say it CAN'T is simply being naive. History says it can and probably will.

Germany, Russia, Argentina... all crashed. And while the USA's Great Depression may not have been an official "collapse" it may as well have been.

Then you have Iceland and Greece who recently needed a bailout to prevent a full economic crash, and it looks like Greece is going to need another one and Portugal is not far behind.

It happens.

And in case you've been living in a cave, there are already riots and protests in many places in the world. But the last place you're going to see anything like that, at least on a serious level, is in the USA. Americans will simply take their medicine as it's served to them. They are going to take every long stroke up the ass that is given to them and pay 30% of their income for the privilege to get it, because American Idol is more important than congress renewing The Patriot Act and the TSA groping their children.

L-Pink 05-28-2011 01:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWB (Post 18173100)
American Idol is more important than congress renewing The Patriot Act and the TSA groping their children.

What a sad fucking dead on assessment of the general public as well as our media.

It's embarrassing.

.

Emil 05-28-2011 03:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by V_RocKs (Post 18172305)
Ever heard of too big to fail?

If we collapsed, the entire world would be fucked in the ass. No aid to about 140 nations of the world that depend on it. No trade with the top 8 nations that depend on it.

China, the Middle East, Japan, Asia for that matter... would all be back in the dark ages.

So you mean that the world will continue to accept the dollar forever? That USA dont have to produce any gods, they can just continue to print the fucking dollars and give it to the world in exchange for gods? Are you insane? The federal reserve keeps printing more and more all the time! You cant keep a inflating currency forever! That goes for ALL fiat currencies in the world but the US dollar is abused right now, they keep pumping in more and more dollars.

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18171625)
China is buying all the gold to help stop the manipulation of golds value.

Gold has crashed before... don't think it can't happen again.

Of course gold will go down, but no one knows WHEN. It's called wealth cycles, nothing continues to grow forever. When gold and silver are bid up too far it will begin to go down.

Redrob 05-28-2011 05:21 AM

The Federal Reserve Bank and Wall Street Financial concerns have to figure out how to screw the baby boomers out of their retirement savings and get away with it. This isn't the first time banks or Wall Street has helped themselves to seniors' savings.

It will probably come during a Republican administration that will try and divert public attention to another "crisis" like "porn addiction" so the DOJ can be focused else where while the finance industry runs amok.

Remember, Lincoln Savings and Loan, Charles Keating, the Citizens for Decency Through Law, the Meese Commission, and your grandparents getting their retirement money stolen. I think it was a dry run for the futrure.

Link to article on the CDL and Keating

Link to Lincoln Savings and Loan Article

I am also always concerned if the government declares any "national crisis" and tries to take control of the media. If you see your "news" options dwindling, that will be a first sign to duck and cover.

Now think about the Republicans trying to shut down/defund NPR and PBS, two public watchdogs.:disgust

Just my opinion.:2 cents:

Emil 05-28-2011 06:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by V_RocKs (Post 18172305)
Ever heard of too big to fail?

:1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

wig 05-28-2011 06:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18172492)
Oh noes I guess that means all agora charts are fake rofl.

No, it means that its really amusing to see where you get your information from. :1orglaugh

When I was a Gov't bond dealer in the late 80's we were laughing at these guys and their predictions of a collapse of the US Gov't and the US Bond market.

You were in diapers then, so you probably have no idea how long they have been peddling what you're peddling. :2 cents:

The Demon 05-28-2011 06:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18173333)
No, it means that its really amusing to see where you get your information from. :1orglaugh

Considering the fact that your only argument is "they're wanted by the feds, therefore ALL of their stuff is fake", I think I'm in a great position.

Quote:

When I was a Gov't bond dealer in the late 80's we were laughing at these guys and their predictions of a collapse of the US Gov't and the US Bond market.
I'm sure you were also laughing at Peter Schiff who predicted the housing bubble bursting and the financial collapse. Good show:)

Quote:

You were in diapers then, so you probably have no idea how long they have been peddling what you're peddling. :2 cents:
What I'm peddling seems to be happening pretty accurately right now. I appreciate teh vote of confidence.:1orglaugh

wig 05-28-2011 07:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Demon (Post 18173338)
Considering the fact that your only argument is "they're wanted by the feds, therefore ALL of their stuff is fake", I think I'm in a great position.

It's not an argument so much as an observation. They've been peddling newsletters and books for decades calling for the collapse. Maybe after 40 years of yelling "fire" they'll be right, but that's their record.


Quote:

I'm sure you were also laughing at Peter Schiff who predicted the housing bubble bursting and the financial collapse. Good show:)
Schiff's been right on somethings and wrong on others. Like most procrastinators. I know you are an admirer and probably have all his youtube videos bookmarked. Hoorah!

Quote:

What I'm peddling seems to be happening pretty accurately right now. I appreciate teh vote of confidence.:1orglaugh
No, you like many people here use your political ideology to inform your economics, science and medicine rather than the other way around.

And you routinely regurgitate doomsdayer rhetoric, calling for hyperinflation, stating that the world is in a global depression, etc. which have not happened.

I'm glad you've got some capital gains on your bag of silver, but it's hardly worth taking a victory lap over.


.

The Demon 05-28-2011 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18173367)
It's not an argument so much as an observation. They've been peddling newsletters and books for decades calling for the collapse. Maybe after 40 years of yelling "fire" they'll be right, but that's their record.

Maybe, maybe not. But it wouldn't be above you to randomly discredit the source because you didn't like it. It happens all the time here.




Quote:

Schiff's been right on somethings and wrong on others. Like most procrastinators. I know you are an admirer and probably have all his youtube videos bookmarked. Hoorah!
I've made a lot of money listening to him so sure. I don't recall what he was wrong about.


No, you like many people here use your political ideology to inform your economics, science and medicine rather than the other way around.

Quote:

And you routinely regurgitate doomsdayer rhetoric, calling for hyperinflation, stating that the world is in a global depression, etc. which have not happened.
I think you need to look up the word "routinely" and then try to reapply it to my current economic postings. You'll find that there's nothing "routine" about them, nor do I recall the last time I posted a doomsday scenario in a month or so. I guess you "exaggerate" a lot. And when I DO call for hyperinflation, I said it's a likely, even inevitable scenario in the next few years to a decade, I never claim it's happening now. Also, depending on what "facts" you look at, the world IS in a global recession/depression.

Quote:

I'm glad you've got some capital gains on your bag of silver, but it's hardly worth taking a victory lap over.


.
Yup, it was just silver. Not certain stocks, emerging markets funds, central american funds, etc..

DWB 05-28-2011 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redrob (Post 18173250)
The Federal Reserve Bank and Wall Street Financial concerns have to figure out how to screw the baby boomers out of their retirement savings and get away with it. This isn't the first time banks or Wall Street has helped themselves to seniors' savings.

It will probably come during a Republican administration that will try and divert public attention to another "crisis" like "porn addiction" so the DOJ can be focused else where while the finance industry runs amok.

Remember, Lincoln Savings and Loan, Charles Keating, the Citizens for Decency Through Law, the Meese Commission, and your grandparents getting their retirement money stolen. I think it was a dry run for the future.

Link to article on the CDL and Keating

Link to Lincoln Savings and Loan Article

I am also always concerned if the government declares any "national crisis" and tries to take control of the media. If you see your "news" options dwindling, that will be a first sign to duck and cover.

Now think about the Republicans trying to shut down/defund NPR and PBS, two public watchdogs.:disgust

Just my opinion.:2 cents:

Interesting observation.

I have no idea how old you are. Baby boomer?

Kiopa_Matt 05-28-2011 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWB (Post 18173100)
I don't know what will happen, but to say it CAN'T is simply being naive.

True, I was being naive. Never say never, and all that jazz.

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWB (Post 18173100)
Germany, Russia, Argentina... all crashed.

Those are individual countries. If the US crashes, the whole world crashes. There's enough wealth and power floating around to prevent it if necessary, and at the current point in history, I don't believe it's in the best interest of the wealthy and powerful to have a full out global economic collapse.

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWB (Post 18173100)
And in case you've been living in a cave, there are already riots and protests in many places in the world.

Totally different ballgame, and you know that.

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWB (Post 18173100)
But the last place you're going to see anything like that, at least on a serious level, is in the USA.

Exactly. The leaders of the middle east are just brutal assholes, whereas the leaders of the West are far more intelligent and meticulous. In the West, they have everyone's minds squeezed tightly in a vice grip, letting them know as long as Facebook is still online, everything is ok.

The leaders of the Middle East didn't have that type of mind control and manipulation over the populous. You live in Thailand, so I'm sure you know how it goes. Around here, people don't talk about "Thailand's Got Talent". They talk about the red-shirts storming parliament and taking over the government. Same shit, different pile.

Houdini 05-28-2011 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redrob (Post 18173250)
The Federal Reserve Bank and Wall Street Financial concerns have to figure out how to screw the baby boomers out of their retirement savings and get away with it. This isn't the first time banks or Wall Street has helped themselves to seniors' savings.

After the Treasury department was going to dip into gov pensions, I thought, "I bet someday they'll try to raid 401k's."

"Bank of America (BAC, news), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, news) and Wells Fargo (WFC, news) are adding staff, creating easier-to-use technology and competing on fees in an effort to win a bigger share of the trillions of dollars in 401k savings plans.
JPMorgan almost doubled its sales force dedicated to selling retirement-plan services to employers in 2010, says Michael Falcon, whose job as head of retirement in the U.S. and Canada for the bank’s asset management unit was created in January. “It’s one of the top priorities” at JPMorgan, he says."

http://bajansunonline.com/big-banks-...01k-trillions/

Bladewire 05-28-2011 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Houdini (Post 18173746)
After the Treasury department was going to dip into gov pensions, I thought, "I bet someday they'll try to raid 401k's."

"Bank of America (BAC, news), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, news) and Wells Fargo (WFC, news) are adding staff, creating easier-to-use technology and competing on fees in an effort to win a bigger share of the trillions of dollars in 401k savings plans.
JPMorgan almost doubled its sales force dedicated to selling retirement-plan services to employers in 2010, says Michael Falcon, whose job as head of retirement in the U.S. and Canada for the bank?s asset management unit was created in January. ?It?s one of the top priorities? at JPMorgan, he says."

http://bajansunonline.com/big-banks-...01k-trillions/


That's part of a story from MSN that site lifted, not the FULL story.

"Increased competition from banks may lead to lower costs and more choices for employers and savers, says Laura Pavlenko Lutton, an editorial director in the mutual fund research group at Morningstar.

And it may mean less revenue for the top three 401k administrators: Fidelity, Aon Hewitt and Vanguard, which together had 43% of the market at the end of 2009, compared with a combined share of less than 10% for Bank of America, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, according to Cerulli."

Fidelity & Vanguard got bailout funds

Interesting that Chase , B of A, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup got over $15 billion in bailouts [source] so they could lend to consumers again , but they seem to be putting more effort into the 401k push :disgust

An ominus quote from the [source] "Where the money went is not clear."

MrMaxwell 06-05-2011 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Houdini (Post 18172615)
Actually, the opposite. Your debt amount doesn't go down, only the value of the currency. $1000 debt is still $1000, but it would be more of a burden to pay off any debts, since your purchasing power is much less.

But that is the point... The $1000 debt is still a $1000 debt. And if what it's made of (dollars) becomes all but worthless.. Well, those dollars will be far far easier to acquire and the debt will be worth a lot less to whoever is holding it.

What are they going to try to make your debt into what a dollar was supposed to be? A certain amount of metal? I don't see how they can do that. You owe dollars, you pay dollars.

The only way you wouldn't be able to pay off your debt is if the currency completely crashes and is no longer accepted as legal tender. But then, why would a debt enumerated in dollars still be valid, anyway??

Coup 06-05-2011 11:52 PM

http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/twn.../nixon_mao.jpg


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