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As has been said, someone who wants to start a paysite could run it as an AVS first. That would limit their investment while they find out whether they can drive traffic. I guess they could build a traffic stream, sending it to sponsors initially. And until 3 or 4 years ago I would have recommended one of those options to a newbie.
But although it doesn't cost any more to start selling porn these days, the chances of success are much smaller than a few years back and every learning curve is longer and steeper. No matter what you do, to be making more than pin money in what most would consider a reasonable length of time, you are going to have to work hard, think a lot about what you are doing and likely as not, invest.
Against that changed background, I'm inclined to say that newcomers should aim straight at what they believe they want to do. I'm not brimming with conviction, but that's because most are only here because of the lure of easy money. They won't think much about what they are going to do before they dive in and they likely won't stay long when they get a dose of reality.
But that will be the same no matter what such people dabble in. Those with what it takes to succeed will make it.
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