The Law of Truly Large Numbers

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  • Shoehorn!
    Die With Your Boots On
    • Oct 2003
    • 22872
    #1

    The Law of Truly Large Numbers

    I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.
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    • Violetta
      Affiliate
      • Jul 2004
      • 28735
      #2
      I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April
      M&A Queen

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        • robfantasy
          Confirmed User
          • Jun 2002
          • 6445
          #3
          i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank
          Looking to speak w/ high volume nutra CPA affiliates or networks... msg me

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            • Shoehorn!
              Die With Your Boots On
              • Oct 2003
              • 22872
              #4
              Originally posted by Rockatansky
              I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April
              Well, according to the law of truly large numbers, you don't know enough people, that should be reason enough to make the trip to Vegas for Internext.

              Either that, or you know a lot of people, but you just don't know when everyones birthday is.

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                • Shoehorn!
                  Die With Your Boots On
                  • Oct 2003
                  • 22872
                  #5
                  Originally posted by robfantasy
                  i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank
                  Actually, the odds of that would be very easy to find, on average. Obviously a place like Hawaii or another state with a large military population would have higher odds, but I think overall you could just find the numbers on how many people have served in battle over the last 60 or so years, find out how many people have died in all the battles in those 60 years while fighting the army from the country those people are from, and so on and etc. I am too tired to type anymore, but you get the idea.

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                    • enter »
                      Confirmed User
                      • Jul 2004
                      • 2362
                      #6
                      Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
                      Actually, the odds of that would be very easy to find, on average. Obviously a place like Hawaii or another state with a large military population would have higher odds, but I think overall you could just find the numbers on how many people have served in battle over the last 60 or so years, find out how many people have died in all the battles in those 60 years while fighting the army from the country those people are from, and so on and etc. I am too tired to type anymore, but you get the idea.

                      Yeah, but there's probably more straight up murderers on the street than ex military. Good point though and cool post.
                      Last edited by enter »; 12-07-2004, 04:18 AM.
                      «-- offer extended through New Years (icq286487452)

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                        • Fukeneh
                          Confirmed User
                          • Mar 2004
                          • 1245
                          #7
                          Originally posted by enter »
                          Yeah, but there's probably more straight up murderers on the street than ex military. Good point though and cool post.
                          i think there are more killers in/from the military, between vietnam and WWII.

                            Comment

                            • yuvalus
                              Confirmed User
                              • Oct 2003
                              • 1906
                              #8
                              yes it's called "the Bday problem"
                              is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you!
                              Mail me: [email protected]

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                                • Little King
                                  Registered User
                                  • Oct 2004
                                  • 62
                                  #9
                                  I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks.
                                  Ryan - Adult Content
                                  email: [email protected]

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                                    • Libertine
                                      sex dwarf
                                      • May 2002
                                      • 17860
                                      #10
                                      Originally posted by yuvalus
                                      yes it's called "the Bday problem"
                                      is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you!
                                      Wrong on all accounts. In a group of 30 people, assuming birthdays are distributed equally through the year (which they aren't) chances of 1 birthday being shared by at least 2 of them is ~70%. In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

                                      However, the chance of someone in a group of 30 sharing your specific birthday is obviously far smaller.

                                      Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
                                      I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.

                                      Wrong. There are seasonal variations, so some birthdays are less common than others.
                                      /(bb|[^b]{2})/

                                        Comment

                                        • Tuga
                                          Confirmed User
                                          • Nov 2002
                                          • 7678
                                          #11
                                          Originally posted by Little King
                                          I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks.

                                          Go Fuck Yourself!
                                          ICQ 101411627

                                            Comment

                                            • Fukeneh
                                              Confirmed User
                                              • Mar 2004
                                              • 1245
                                              #12
                                              Originally posted by punkworld
                                              Wrong on all accounts. In a group of 30 people, assuming birthdays are distributed equally through the year (which they aren't) chances of 1 birthday being shared by at least 2 of them is ~70%. In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

                                              However, the chance of someone in a group of 30 sharing your specific birthday is obviously far smaller.




                                              Wrong. There are seasonal variations, so some birthdays are less common than others.
                                              interesting post.

                                                Comment

                                                • Theo
                                                  HAL 9000
                                                  • May 2001
                                                  • 34515
                                                  #13
                                                  You know a million people die everyday breathin' in second hand smoke

                                                    Comment

                                                    • Libertine
                                                      sex dwarf
                                                      • May 2002
                                                      • 17860
                                                      #14
                                                      Originally posted by punkworld
                                                      In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.
                                                      Obviously, this was a typo. In a group of 23, the chance is ~50%.
                                                      /(bb|[^b]{2})/

                                                        Comment

                                                        • Meta Ridley
                                                          Confirmed User
                                                          • Sep 2003
                                                          • 3433
                                                          #15
                                                          Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
                                                          I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.

                                                          Did you know your post has put me to sleep.
                                                          [email protected]

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