Pam Woodall: "China to be biggest economy in the world in 25-30 years"

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  • pimplink
    Confirmed User
    • Jun 2001
    • 9535

    #1

    Pam Woodall: "China to be biggest economy in the world in 25-30 years"

    http://economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=3241859

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  • David!
    By the wrath of Agamemnon
    • Apr 2004
    • 6501

    #2
    Actually I would say in 10 to 15 years
    .

    Comment

    • KRL
      Entrepreneur
      • Oct 2002
      • 31429

      #3
      Ahhh, maybe so, but don't forget who their biggest customer is.

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      • angelsofporn
        Confirmed User
        • Mar 2002
        • 3218

        #4
        That combined with an open policy of world domination. No doubt they will wipe us out first.

        Comment

        • angelsofporn
          Confirmed User
          • Mar 2002
          • 3218

          #5
          Originally posted by KRL
          Ahhh, maybe so, but don't forget who their biggest customer is.

          Everything i my house is made in china...Take a look at labels on the things you buy now. 90% of everything is made there.

          Comment

          • polish_aristocrat
            Too lazy to set a custom title
            • Jul 2002
            • 40377

            #6
            You are 1 day too late with your topic, pimplink.

            http://www.gofuckyourself.com/showth...adid=365286&s=
            I don't use ICQ anymore.

            Comment

            • pimplink
              Confirmed User
              • Jun 2001
              • 9535

              #7
              Originally posted by polish_aristocrat
              You are 1 day too late with your topic, pimplink.

              http://www.gofuckyourself.com/showth...adid=365286&s=
              I wanted to post in that thread but couldn't find it back

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              • CamChicks
                Confirmed User
                • Sep 2003
                • 1552

                #8
                Economists everywhere have been in agreement on this for years. No amount of denial or bravado from uninformed americans will change the data. We will have to adjust. The hardest part for many to acknowledge is that outsourcing all our technology and manufacturing (for higher short-term company profits) is ultimately what has caused us to be unseated from our #1 position in the world.

                camchicks.com

                Comment

                • Wiggles
                  Too lazy to set a custom title
                  • May 2004
                  • 14423

                  #9
                  Japan is pretty close second in my opinion for future.
                  no sig

                  Comment

                  • Basic_man
                    Programming King Pin
                    • Oct 2003
                    • 27360

                    #10
                    That's nice! No more ameican morons like Bush who think the world is at him feet !
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                    • pimplink
                      Confirmed User
                      • Jun 2001
                      • 9535

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Basic_man
                      That's nice! No more ameican morons like Bush who think the world is at him feet !
                      your engrish is 20%

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                      • Lykos
                        Too lazy to set a custom title
                        • Apr 2003
                        • 31027

                        #12
                        And i am preety sure they will be..there is just too many of them...

                        Comment

                        • Goatse
                          Confirmed User
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 2086

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Wiggles
                          Japan is pretty close second in my opinion for future.
                          Per capita, yes. Unfortunately for them, their population is too small and they lack the necessary natural resources to compete with China, the US and Russia when it comes to absolute numbers (i.e. GDP).

                          Comment

                          • $5 submissions
                            I help you SUCCEED
                            • Nov 2003
                            • 32189

                            #14
                            It's believable. Specially given the size of their market and increasing spending power.

                            Internally in China, the place to MAKE money is in the west. The Eastern seaboard is built up already. Still lot of money to be made in the West.

                            Comment

                            • Fake Nick
                              So Fucking Banned
                              • Jul 2004
                              • 7708

                              #15
                              the USA is in debt with China , if it wasn't for those dictators lending the USA money the USA was now bankrupt

                              Comment

                              • reynold
                                Too lazy to set a custom title
                                • Oct 2002
                                • 51271

                                #16
                                that would be great! China as most populoust country need to be come a tiger in economy to help their growing people.

                                Comment

                                • VeriSexy
                                  Join The Royal Family
                                  • Apr 2002
                                  • 25463

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Fake Nick
                                  the USA is in debt with China , if it wasn't for those dictators lending the USA money the USA was now bankrupt
                                  http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global...y/FA23Dj01.html

                                  "China recycles trade surplus into US Treasury bonds
                                  American companies may have forgotten what Henry Ford propounded when he first built his Model T: If you do not pay high enough wages to your workers, they can't afford to buy your product. One simple basis for that Bush boom is that China is recycling its US$100 billion-plus trade surplus with the US back into dollars, and especially into US Treasury bonds. Almost half of the US Treasury bonds are now owned in Asia. So China is financing Bush's bold economic experiment: running two or more wars simultaneously with a huge budget and trade deficit, and equally huge tax handouts for the richest Americans.

                                  One has to question the long-term economic rationale for China of putting its long-term assets into very low-interest bonds in a currency that has already dropped recently by a third - and is going to drop even more. It certainly makes strategic sense: if push came to shove over, for example, the Taiwan Strait, all Beijing has to do is to mention the possibility of a sell order going down the wires. It would devastate the US economy more than any nuclear strike the Chinese could manage at the moment. "

                                  China Issues US$78 BLN Of Treasury Bonds In 2003
                                  http://au.news.yahoo.com/040130/3/nibj.html

                                  CHINA TO ISSUE EQUIVALENT OF US$4.6 BLN IN T-BONDS
                                  http://news.tradingcharts.com/futures/5/8/54028985.html

                                  CHINA'S CENTRAL BANK QUICKENS MONEY WITHDRAWAL
                                  http://news.tradingcharts.com/futures/9/5/54130559.html

                                  China float might hit US Treasuries-PIMCO's Keller
                                  http://www.forbes.com/markets/bonds...rtr1004460.html

                                  China is an important buyer of U.S. Treasury securities, holding $119.4 billion of them at the end of April, U.S. Treasury Department figures show.


                                  China's New 'Self-Defense' Tool: U.S. Bonds
                                  http://www.iht.com/IHT/PS/98/ps040398a.html

                                  http://www.oneworld.net/article/view/73234/1/
                                  China is also using its large foreign currency reserves--a total of $356 billion--to buy more U.S. treasury bonds, which provide U.S. investors with capital for re-investment

                                  http://wwwc.house.gov/International...08/bian2021.htm
                                  The People?s Republic of China presently receives approximately $4 billion each year from American taxpayers in the form of interest income on U.S. Treasury bonds held by the Chinese government. The PRC also enjoys a $100 billion annual trade surplus with the United States, giving them an estimated $400 billion current account. Yet the government of China continues its discriminatory evasion of payment to American bondholders. It is the position of the Chinese government that China should not have to honor their nation?s full faith and credit sovereign obligations if they choose not to. Such an insular worldview, flaunting the flagrant disregard of established principles of international trade and commerce, will not serve the interests of the PRC in the community of nations and is inconsistent with the status of the PRC as a most favored trading partner and member of the World Trade Organization. Such a posture can only act to harm the long term interests of both the United States and China.

                                  The Economy:US to buy back national debt
                                  http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business...nomy/411973.stm

                                  It now says it will begin repurchasing Treasury bonds before they fall due, as early as next February, cutting back on the $3.6 trillion (£2.4 trillion) it owes to the public.

                                  US Dollar Implosion - Part II
                                  http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorial...ield120503.html

                                  Asians Aren't Dumping U.S. Treasuries -- Yet
                                  http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/new...id=aCvJZvr6BM4I

                                  China also has emerged a key U.S. Treasury holder. Maintaining its 8.3 peg to the U.S. dollar means buying lots of dollar assets. Politicians and manufacturers who complain that Beijing manipulates its currency to gain an unfair advantage fail to appreciate its role in holding down U.S. borrowing costs.

                                  China Now Second In Oil Consumption
                                  China's fast-growing economy has overtaken Japan to become the world's second largest consumer of crude oil after the US
                                  http://www.ruggedelegantliving.com/change/a/002062.html

                                  China has total of 270 million cellular users as of the end of 2003 and around 60 million new users were added in the same year. See:
                                  http://www1.chinadaily.com.cn/en/do...tent_259693.htm (the news in 08/2003)

                                  Broadband users in China:17.4 million. see: http://www.infoworld.com/article/04...ecommunications

                                  China produced around 225 million tons of iron and steel and imported other 35 million tons in 2003 for the construction.
                                  See: http://www.worldsteel.org/media/wsif/wsif2003.pdf

                                  55% of the world cement (Another infrastructure construction index) was used in China. See http://www.economist.com/displaysto...tory_id=2446908

                                  More that 13 million of PCs were sold in China in 2003. See http://biz.yahoo.com/rc/040212/tech_china_pcs_1.html

                                  International trade in 2003
                                  China topped 840B$ (import < export) in 2003. See: http://www1.chinadaily.com.cn/en/do...tent_294145.htm

                                  Mcdonads?s Business in China:
                                  http://breaking.tcm.ie/2004/02/26/story135939.html

                                  China has more than 400B$ reserve. See: http://www.china.org.cn/e-company/0.../page031222.htm
                                  China has 160B$ external debt. Reserve >> debt

                                  Here's world military spending

                                  http://www.cdi.org/budget/2004/worl...ry-spending.cfm

                                  China is also pushing Europe to lift the Arms embargo so they can buy more high tech weapons and tech transfers. Imagine what will happen if they got a copy of the Euro Fighter and started mass producing.
                                  http://www.contumacy.org/bbs/index....ames;read=26893
                                  http://www.euobserver.com/index.pht...3&aid=14196

                                  They also got their first batch of SU30MKK from Russia.
                                  http://www.kanwa.com/edaily.htm

                                  China more than doubling budgeted military spending this year
                                  http://www.spacewar.com/2004/040423060406.hm15bwqn.html
                                  China's official defense budget in 2004 is more than 25 billion dollars.

                                  But when off-budget funding for foreign weapons system imports is included, total defense-related expenditures this year should soar to between 50 and 70 billion dollars, said Richard Lawless, the deputy undersecretary of defence.
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                                  Comment

                                  • theFeTiShLaDy
                                    Confirmed User
                                    • Jun 2004
                                    • 2615

                                    #18
                                    no doubt at all! if you observe it's improved alot for the past 10 years.
                                    I'm a freelance babe!

                                    Comment

                                    • Project-Shadow
                                      Confirmed User
                                      • Feb 2003
                                      • 7340

                                      #19
                                      Nice one Veri, very informative.. 'ha ha'

                                      Comment

                                      • FlyingIguana
                                        aspiring banker
                                        • Mar 2002
                                        • 10870

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by CamChicks
                                        Economists everywhere have been in agreement on this for years. No amount of denial or bravado from uninformed americans will change the data. We will have to adjust. The hardest part for many to acknowledge is that outsourcing all our technology and manufacturing (for higher short-term company profits) is ultimately what has caused us to be unseated from our #1 position in the world.
                                        no, the reason is americans aren't investing to better themselves and allowing the rest of the world to catch up.

                                        Comment

                                        • dready
                                          Confirmed User
                                          • Oct 2002
                                          • 5247

                                          #21
                                          Great thead! Very informative. Also don't forget that with China being the #2 importer of oil, they require the US Dollar reserves to pay for it.
                                          ICQ: 91139591

                                          Comment

                                          • VeriSexy
                                            Join The Royal Family
                                            • Apr 2002
                                            • 25463

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by dready
                                            Great thead! Very informative. Also don't forget that with China being the #2 importer of oil, they require the US Dollar reserves to pay for it.


                                            China Now Second In Oil Consumption
                                            China's fast-growing economy has overtaken Japan to become the world's second largest consumer of crude oil after the US
                                            http://www.ruggedelegantliving.com/change/a/002062.html

                                            Prices won't be coming down anytime soon.........
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                                            Comment

                                            • Rich
                                              So Fucking Banned
                                              • Jan 2003
                                              • 11486

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pimplink
                                              your engrish is 20%
                                              He's an outsourced poster.

                                              Comment

                                              • BRISK
                                                Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                • Feb 2003
                                                • 12240

                                                #24
                                                $$$$
                                                I post on GFY so that when people ask me what I do,
                                                I can tell them that I work with the mentally retarded.

                                                Comment

                                                • Rich
                                                  So Fucking Banned
                                                  • Jan 2003
                                                  • 11486

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by VeriSexy

                                                  The Economy:US to buy back national debt
                                                  http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business...nomy/411973.stm
                                                  Great post.

                                                  Could you try that link again? The board cut it off.

                                                  Comment

                                                  • Rich
                                                    So Fucking Banned
                                                    • Jan 2003
                                                    • 11486

                                                    #26
                                                    "Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite would, is either a madman or an economist."
                                                    -Kenneth Boulding

                                                    Comment

                                                    • VeriSexy
                                                      Join The Royal Family
                                                      • Apr 2002
                                                      • 25463

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Rich
                                                      Great post.

                                                      Could you try that link again? The board cut it off.
                                                      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/...omy/411973.stm

                                                      This should be more helpful, that was in 1999

                                                      http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/
                                                      Last edited by VeriSexy; 10-04-2004, 05:44 PM.
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                                                      Comment

                                                      • Rich
                                                        So Fucking Banned
                                                        • Jan 2003
                                                        • 11486

                                                        #28
                                                        Also keep in mind if the Chinese start consuming like Americans, it will take the resources of something like 4 earths to support it.

                                                        Comment

                                                        • Rich
                                                          So Fucking Banned
                                                          • Jan 2003
                                                          • 11486

                                                          #29
                                                          thanks

                                                          The Republicans are proposing a $792bn tax cut, while President Clinton and the Democrats want to add funds to the social security retirement programme and Medicare, which provides health care for older people.

                                                          But in a change of tack last month, the Clinton administration indicated that it was also prepared to consider using some of the surplus to reduce the overall government debt.

                                                          Such a course of action has long been advocated by Alan Greenspan, the influential chairman of the US central bank, the Federal Reserve.

                                                          He argues that reducing government debt should take priority over tax cuts, as the move will free funds for private investment and lower government spending.
                                                          Is it too late for a recount?

                                                          Comment

                                                          • VeriSexy
                                                            Join The Royal Family
                                                            • Apr 2002
                                                            • 25463

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Rich
                                                            thanks



                                                            Is it too late for a recount?
                                                            Clinton Announces Record Payment on National Debt

                                                            http://www.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/.../clinton.debt/

                                                            You should look here, very good timeline

                                                            http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/
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                                                            • BRISK
                                                              Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                              • Feb 2003
                                                              • 12240

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by VeriSexy
                                                              http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/
                                                              The National Debt has continued to increase an average of
                                                              $1.71 billion per day since September 30, 2003!
                                                              I post on GFY so that when people ask me what I do,
                                                              I can tell them that I work with the mentally retarded.

                                                              Comment

                                                              • Theo
                                                                HAL 9000
                                                                • May 2001
                                                                • 34515

                                                                #32
                                                                possible faster, but there are many unpredictable factors. Economies go up and down and I can't recall any economy in the last century doing great for such large period of time.

                                                                Comment

                                                                • teomaxxx
                                                                  Confirmed User
                                                                  • May 2003
                                                                  • 2737

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Rich
                                                                  Also keep in mind if the Chinese start consuming like Americans, it will take the resources of something like 4 earths to support it.

                                                                  probably time to buy for chinese people another 4x 4 car.

                                                                  Comment

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