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Old 02-23-2005, 04:26 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
she might run, but I'm not sure she could get the party nomination. If she did get the nomination I think she might actually have a shot at winning. But for that to happen several things need to happen.

1. GW Bush needs to really fuck up. I think he did a terrible job his first 4 years, lets see how the next 4 play out. If he has a low approval rating that will help hillary because people will be wanting a change. If he has a high approval rating it might hurt her. But history, in the area, is on her side. If you look back after 8 years of the same party in power, typically the people are ready for a change.

2. It will depend heavily on who the repubs put out there. If they get a strong candidate she will have trouble. If they have one of those years where 20 people run and the one that wins barely eeked it out, that will help her.

3. She would need to mobilize women. Historically speaking women will not vote for women. I don't know why that is, but it is. If she can change that trend and run a " women empowerment" type of campaign she could have a good shot.

But it's still 3 years away until all this happens. A lot of things could happen that would change any or all of this.

Last edited by kane; 02-23-2005 at 04:27 PM..
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