After the debates last night one channel said Bush won (guess which one
), another said Kerry slam-dunked and others were calling it a tie.
Barring any controversies (like voting machine problems or it turns out true that democratic voter registrations were destroyed in several key states) I still think it will be a miracle if Kerry wins. There are too many people who don't care that they will be affected by policies they wouldn't agree with if they knew about them that won't be voting... and too many people who profess to care that won't be voting. If there were a way to confirm it I would be willing to put a sizeable wager that if you were to round up everyone of age and eligibility to vote in the US election that has posted anything negative about the administration at GFY it would turn out that less than 50% of them actually make it to the poll.
On the otherhand, there is a major organized push by many many churches going on. Do you think all that "my faith" and praying stuff GW talked about last night was just to make him look like a nice moral guy? In your dreams. It was to play to that movement, a play that will click well with them especially since the other guy had just gone on record as being for a woman's right to choose.
This election may bring out those who wish to change presidents, but it for sure will bring out the moralists and anti-abortionists. Don't underestimate the number of people who wouldn't care less what happens to anything else for an opportunity to get their morals legislated to others.