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Well, all signs point to them being a religious theocracy like Iran within the next decade, and possibly breaking up into several unstable states. The US government loves dictators, they only stopped liking Saddam when he stopped playing ball with them. The best they can hope for is another dictator taking over who's friendly to US interests. I suspect they're grooming Alawi to take Saddam's place, since he has no shot of winning any election.
The only thing it has no chance of becoming is a democracy. Democracy can't be forced on nationalistic people, especially ones who are extremely stubborn and traditional.
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