06-20-2004, 12:17 PM
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Carpe Visio
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: New York
Posts: 43,068
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Quote:
Originally posted by Mutt
ok i found it, it's a Harris poll.
President Bush's lead over Kerry widens and Cabinet members' ratings also rise
ROCHESTER, N.Y., June 18 /PRNewswire/ -- Is it the effect of the nation's
memories of Ronald Reagan or the expanding economy? Whatever the cause, the
latest Harris Poll has a lot of good news for President Bush and the
Republicans. The good news includes:
* A very modest improvement in President Bush's job ratings (which is
within the possible margin of sampling error) to 50% positive, 49%
negative.
* Significantly improved job ratings for Vice President Dick Cheney
(from 36% positive to 42% positive), Secretary of State Colin Powell
(from 63% positive to 67% positive), and Attorney General John
Ashhahahahaha (from 40% positive to 43% positive).
* Improved ratings for the Republicans in Congress (from 35% to 39%
positive), House Speaker Dennis Hastert (from 25% to 29% positive),
and Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (from 26% to 30% positive).
However, the most startling change in the new Harris Poll compared to a
comparable survey in April, is that President Bush has widened his lead over
Senator John Kerry, from three points among likely voters then to 10 points
now.
What Does History Tell Us?
President Bush's June ratings suggest that the Presidential race is still
wide open. His current ratings are better than the June ratings of recent
presidents who were not re-elected (George H.W. Bush, Carter, Ford and
Johnson) but worse than the June ratings of the three who were re-elected
(Clinton, Reagan and Nixon).
PRESIDENT BUSH AND HIS PREDECESSORS
JOB APPROVAL RATINGS
President Date Positive Negative Not Sure Re-elected
George W. Bush June 2004 50 49 1 ?
Clinton June 1996 55 45 1 Yes
George H.W. Bush June 1992 32 67 1 No
Reagan June 1984 55 45 * Yes
Carter June 1980 26 73 1 No
Ford June 1976 41 57 2 No
Nixon June 1972 56 42 2 Yes
Johnson June 1968 45 No data No data No
(did not run)
*=Less than 0.5 percent
These are the results of a nationwide telephone survey of 991 adults by
Harris interactive conducted between June 8 and 15.
TABLE 1
BUSH VS. KERRY
"If the next presidential election were held today between George W. Bush
for the Republicans, John Kerry for the Democrats and Ralph Nader as an
Independent, for whom would you most likely vote?"
Base: All Adults
All Adults Likely Voters
April Now April Now
% % % %
George Bush 43 48 46 51
John Kerry 43 42 43 41
Ralph Nader 9 7 8 6
None of these 2 * 1 *
Not sure/Refused 2 2 2 1
Bush Lead 0 0 +3 +10
NOTE: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
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I don't know if this poll was actually taken in Rochester or not, but this city is largely Republican.
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