If this poll is any indication of the outcome of the election... - GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum

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CDSmith

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#1

If this poll is any indication of the outcome of the election...

10-27-2008, 07:57 AM

Poll has been up for 1 week.

these are the results after 2-3 days:

This is the same poll, screenshot taken today:

I don't put much stock in polls personally, but if it's any indication at all then the race is going to be closer than some are currently thinking.

Other than polls suck, any comments?

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The Duck

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#2

10-27-2008, 07:59 AM

What is the source?

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#3

10-27-2008, 08:00 AM

Put all the polls together and it's about 8% obamissss ...

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CDSmith

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#4

10-27-2008, 08:17 AM

Originally posted by kandah

What is the source?

Put your glasses on, it's right on the second image.

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- Jesus Christ -

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#5

10-27-2008, 08:24 AM

I don't know if it will be close or not, but this doesn't give me any insight or new info.

If I had to make I guess I would have to say that an Internet poll on a betting website is probably NOT a good indication of an presidential election outcome.

Amen
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#6

10-27-2008, 09:27 AM

I heard that poolhost.com is a really really accurate reflection of the nations demographics. In fact, all the major news channels are now scrapping their polls and going with poolhost.com

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CDSmith

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#7

10-27-2008, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by - Jesus Christ -

I don't know if it will be close or not, but this doesn't give me any insight or new info.

If I had to make I guess I would have to say that an Internet poll on a betting website is probably NOT a good indication of an presidential election outcome.

I'm not sure what the betting website has to do with it. Their members are mostly americans, and the poll question and options are about as straightforward as it gets.

Like I said, I don't put much stock on polls either, but in my opinion this one is as valid as any, at least of web-based polls.

At least it has a fairly high participation rate. Some I've seen have had only a few hundred votes and people are drawing conclusions.

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#8

10-27-2008, 09:33 AM

battleground polls matter more at this point...

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#9

10-27-2008, 09:56 AM

Europeans Billing Europe!

'Can vote but will not vote' could well determine this election...

Alternatively, I keep thinking this is such a weird year, every single poll may be completely off in 2008 and it could be a landslide either way - like the Internet, everything has changed just since 2004 and certainly a giant leap away from 2000 with such a decrease in land line phones and other changes I question the ability to get accurate polls right now...

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Agent 488

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#10

10-27-2008, 10:00 AM

get poll info here instead:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/
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#11

10-27-2008, 10:17 AM

wtf.. is that a kid's poll.. where did you dig that turd poll up at?

good grief, why not look at the other 100 polls that tell a different story.
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#12

10-27-2008, 10:30 AM

She's just turned 18 and love to take it the ass.

It has to be true, I read it on the internet

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#13

10-27-2008, 10:34 AM

wazzzuuuuuuuuuuuuuuup

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CDSmith

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#14

10-27-2008, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by Webbilling JoeD

'Can vote but will not vote' could well determine this election...

Alternatively, I keep thinking this is such a weird year, every single poll may be completely off in 2008 and it could be a landslide either way - like the Internet, everything has changed just since 2004 and certainly a giant leap away from 2000 with such a decrease in land line phones and other changes I question the ability to get accurate polls right now...

Indeed. (all points)

I suppose right after the election we'll know which polls were at least somewhat indicative of anything meaningful and which ones were "turd polls" as my friend simonsyinister the wordsmith so eloquently observed.

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#15

10-27-2008, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by simonsyinister

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#16

10-27-2008, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by simonsyinister

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germ

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#17

10-27-2008, 11:10 AM

if thats based on whos betting on mccain...thats probably because its a betting website and they're giving him better odds. its like when someone beds on a 20-1 longshot in a horse race.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com is where you need to go. they take ALL the polls and evaluate them as a whole. these are the statisticians that handle major league baseball and things of that nature. stats are their job.

Last edited by germ; 10-27-2008, 11:12 AM.
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CDSmith

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#18

10-27-2008, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by germ

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com

Yes, I too found the numbers in the poolhost poll rather surprising, in light of what so many other sources and polls are projecting.

If anything I posted it as a comparative thing. Although there is no way of telling exactly who is voting in such polls -- kids, foriegners, Canadians, family pets, etc... still with that many people voting I found the results interesting.

I would have thought it would have been closer to 60-40 for Obama, actually. That's what is so surprising about it.

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CDSmith

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#19

10-27-2008, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by germ

if thats based on whos betting on mccain...thats probably because its a betting website and they're giving him better odds. its like when someone beds on a 20-1 longshot in a horse race.

It's not a betting website. It's a sports pool site, and a very busy one at that with mostly US males as members.

The poll has nothing to do with betting, or betting on who will win. The choices are worded pretty clearly.

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#20

10-27-2008, 11:20 AM

The only polls that are worth a damn are those of registered voters who are likely to vote. An internet poll is useless, like me.

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#21

10-27-2008, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by fartfly

Thats a great one.

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CDSmith

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#22

10-27-2008, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by Useless Warrior

The only polls that are worth a damn are those of registered voters who are likely to vote. An internet poll is useless, like me.

Agreed, and I indicated as much in my original post, but still....

over 11 thousand people voted, do the #'s not kind of surprise you? Raise an eyebrow?

Anything?

Are dems really so sure their guy is going to win that they can just discard something like this and laugh and scoff? I'm just not as certain I guess, I think it very well might be closer than what most of the media polls are reporting. Just a feeling, nothing concrete of course.

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