Ya we heard that line when people were saying Ron Paul would do great. And you know me I am a Ron Paul supporter. Most polls are of small groups of past voters.
In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/— 3 points for both samples.
Among the findings:
• Before the convention, Republicans by 47%-39% were less enthusiastic than usual about voting. Now, they are more enthusiastic by 60%-24%, a sweeping change that narrows a key Democratic advantage. Democrats report being more enthusiastic by 67%-19%.
• Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, a national unknown before McCain chose her for the ticket 10 days ago, draws a strong reaction from voters on both sides. Now, 29% say she makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 21% less likely.
Obama's choice of Delaware Sen. Joe Biden as running mate made 14% more likely to vote for the Democrat, 7% less likely.
• McCain's acceptance speech Thursday received lower ratings than the one Obama gave a week earlier: 15% called McCain's speech "excellent" compared with 35% for Obama.
Ya we heard that line when people were saying Ron Paul would do great. And you know me I am a Ron Paul supporter. Most polls are of small groups of past voters.
That was a very painful lesson on polling for me also.
The polling turned out to be almost 100% accurate... unfortunately.
Don't you usually post unsourced and unsupported allegations intending to impugn any source which provides evidence contrary to your positions?
No, actually i would love for you to find just one post I amde with unsupported allegations. Just one you fucking mccain troll. You wont find one thread I made with anything of the sort so stfu.
No doubt one may quote history to support any cause, as the devil quotes scripture.
-- Learned Hand
No, actually i would love for you to find just one post I amde with unsupported allegations. Just one you fucking mccain troll. You wont find one thread I made with anything of the sort so stfu.
Originally posted by notoldschool
Dont they only poll small groups of past voters?
There you go. There is no source and no support for the allegation above. Are you really as stupid as you act on GFY?
There is a very damn good reason they are keeping a ball gag on the hockey mom.
I would watch those numbers a bit once she has to appear in front of the press without everyone sticking to a script.
No, actually i would love for you to find just one post I amde with unsupported allegations. Just one you fucking mccain troll. You wont find one thread I made with anything of the sort so stfu.
How about here where you make a similar unsourced and unsupported allegation regarding a Rasmussen poll that displeases you?
I guess they didn't poll the GFY talking heads. Around here we have great brains who have all but decreed that Obama is going to win this election hands down.
If only Simonsynster, NotOldSchool, Pussyserver and Tony404 could reach a larger audience! Think of the "change" they could bring!
It's almost like this place isn't representative of the voting public or something.
"However, in an analysis of the impact of political conventions since 1960, Sabato concluded that post-convention polls signal the election's outcome only about half the time. "You could flip a coin and be about as predictive," he says. "It is really surprising how quickly convention memories fade.""
What the Democrats should really focus on more is Sarah Palin. What else can you dig up or make up about the nice looking hockey mom? Republican party top brass must be laughing their asses off as the nation continues to talk about Sarah palin and not Obama.
I swear you idiots just want to give this election away. Stop helping, because you aren't.
I guess they didn't poll the GFY talking heads. Around here we have great brains who have all but decreed that Obama is going to win this election hands down.
If only Simonsynster, NotOldSchool, Pussyserver and Tony404 could reach a larger audience! Think of the "change" they could bring!
It's almost like this place isn't representative of the voting public or something.
It is for this very reason that the InTrade numbers can not be sourced as indicative of the voting public. It is more a gauge of what people want the "internets".
I will say that taking the opposite of what tony404 predicts has been an almost 100% winner every time. This year will be no different.
It is for this very reason that the InTrade numbers can not be sourced as indicative of the voting public. It is more a gauge of what people want the "internets".
Please explain intrades past accuracy record then.
If the polls indicate a trajectory that continues, obviously the race will be over. If it's a blip resulting from the RNC and Palin celebrity that wanes, who knows.
Some expect Obama to be so good in the debates. I have doubts. Who knows what the next 2 months will bring.
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