Greece Looks Like It Will Default - What Happens Next?..

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  • Quine
    Confirmed User
    • Jan 2013
    • 308

    #101
    Photos of new drachma .

    Good luck to them!
    -I can't quantify my hatred of the State. Preferences are ordinal.

    -The absolute ruler may be a Nero, but he is sometimes Titus or Marcus Aurelius; the people is often Nero, and never Marcus Aurelius.

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    • jscott
      jscizzle
      • Feb 2001
      • 25412

      #102
      Anyone in Greece wanna save their money need to put it all into bitcoin. Seems like thats what they are doing from what can see proce btc on quick rise
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      Comment

      • lezinterracial
        Confirmed User
        • Jul 2012
        • 3117

        #103
        Bitcoin price up to almost $270.
        Future are down.
        Oil down to less than $55 a barrel. Oil has been on a down trend anyways, but this is the summer driving season.
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        • Goethe
          So Fuckin' Bored
          • Nov 2014
          • 1101

          #104
          Aussie stocks and dollar pummelled too
          yes

          Comment

          • Paul&John
            Confirmed User
            • Aug 2005
            • 8644

            #105
            Originally posted by Quine
            Photos of new drachma .

            Good luck to them!
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            • Paul&John
              Confirmed User
              • Aug 2005
              • 8644

              #106
              Originally posted by jscott
              Anyone in Greece wanna save their money need to put it all into bitcoin. Seems like thats what they are doing from what can see proce btc on quick rise
              I think the main problem is that you can't really access 'your' money if its in the bank And if you have paper Euro's then there is no hurry, you can exchange it later to the upcoming currency
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              • RummyBoy
                Confirmed User
                • Dec 2009
                • 2157

                #107
                Of course that would be the case in almost all banks, what with Fractional Reserve Banking.... I bet less than 1 in a 100 even knows what that is.

                Comment

                • aka123
                  Confirmed User
                  • Jul 2014
                  • 4450

                  #108
                  Originally posted by RummyBoy
                  Of course that would be the case in almost all banks, what with Fractional Reserve Banking.... I bet less than 1 in a 100 even knows what that is.
                  There is no banking that would be banking if everybody could draw their moneys (loans to bank) at the same time. Well, unless banks could create money from thin air, as at least whateporn thinks. How much easier it would be if that would be the case.

                  It would simply be some kind of electronic safety box if it wouldn't be loan. Maybe there will be such services, Paypals and such are somewhat close to that. Against fee of course, at least in some form, for example Paypal takes quite big transaction fees.

                  Comment

                  • evy97
                    Confirmed User
                    • Apr 2013
                    • 482

                    #109
                    One lesson from Greece: If you can't afford to pay back a loan, don't take one out. Murica

                    Comment

                    • Paul Markham
                      Too old to care
                      • Jun 2001
                      • 52942

                      #110
                      The Greeks have called the EU's bluff.

                      Now the ball is in the EU's court. A few factors to consider.

                      1. Greece will never repay or try to repay the debt while they're in the EU. Even if they are willing, they can't.

                      2. They default and run out of money.

                      3. Or the EU pumps in more to keep the Euro from tanking. Which is a continuation of the last few years. The EU lays down conditions, the Greeks agree, get the money and ignore a lot of the conditions. They are now at the point of no return.

                      4. They leave the Euro, for which there is no procedure, the EU can't force them to. The Euro was set up as a one way ticket. Once in, it was not envisaged someone would leave.

                      Once out they go back to the Drachma, which is going to be very low value. From there they rebuild their economy. Still not paying the right tax rate.

                      evy97 points out what happens when a Government doesn't collect enough money to keep a country running. Not even a wasteful administration can run up that kind of debt.



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                      • aka123
                        Confirmed User
                        • Jul 2014
                        • 4450

                        #111
                        Originally posted by Paul Markham
                        The Greeks have called the EU's bluff.

                        Now the ball is in the EU's court. A few factors to consider.

                        1. Greece will never repay or try to repay the debt while they're in the EU. Even if they are willing, they can't.

                        2. They default and run out of money.

                        3. Or the EU pumps in more to keep the Euro from tanking. Which is a continuation of the last few years. The EU lays down conditions, the Greeks agree, get the money and ignore a lot of the conditions. They are now at the point of no return.

                        4. They leave the Euro, for which there is no procedure, the EU can't force them to. The Euro was set up as a one way ticket. Once in, it was not envisaged someone would leave.

                        Once out they go back to the Drachma, which is going to be very low value. From there they rebuild their economy. Still not paying the right tax rate.

                        evy97 points out what happens when a Government doesn't collect enough money to keep a country running. Not even a wasteful administration can run up that kind of debt.
                        Few factors to consider:

                        1. they have already run out of money.
                        2. They have already defaulted.
                        3. Other countries won't keep bailing Greek out without substantial agreements from Greek. That would be politically impossible.
                        4. Yes, they won't pay the whole debt at least, as it already has been cut, and even in best case scenario, it will probably be cut further.
                        5. Doesn't really matter what Greek will do besides making a deal. If they don't agree, they are cut off. If they want any money, they have to leave euro as there is no more money coming from that direction. Other option is to use something else than money, but I doubt that they will switch to trading with chickens, etc. What is the point being in euro anyways if they use chickens to trade.

                        Comment

                        • MaDalton
                          I am Amazing Content!
                          • Feb 2004
                          • 39861

                          #112
                          Originally posted by Paul Markham
                          The Greeks have called the EU's bluff.
                          you can only claim to have called a bluff when you win - i don't think Greece won anything last night

                          they need to reform their administration and tax system so that everyone, including the billionaires, pay their share. If they don't do that, nothing will ever change but one thing: no one will borrow them any money anymore after this experience
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                          • aka123
                            Confirmed User
                            • Jul 2014
                            • 4450

                            #113
                            Originally posted by MaDalton
                            you can only claim to have called a bluff when you win - i don't think Greece won anything last night
                            I though the exactly same thing; the bluff was pretty much the other way around.

                            No panic in the market, etc. that Greeks could use for leverage. End deal for them.

                            Comment

                            • Paul Markham
                              Too old to care
                              • Jun 2001
                              • 52942

                              #114
                              Originally posted by aka123
                              Few factors to consider:

                              1. they have already run out of money. Not other people's money.
                              2. They have already defaulted. Not technically with other people's money.
                              3. Other countries won't keep bailing Greek out without substantial agreements from Greek. That would be politically impossible. 5 years too late, hope this is the time.
                              4. Yes, they won't pay the whole debt at least, as it already has been cut, and even in best case scenario, it will probably be cut further. True, say 20 cents on the Euro, or less.
                              Doesn't really matter what Greek will do besides making a deal. If they don't agree, they are cut off. If they want any money, they have to leave euro as there is no more money coming from that direction. Other option is to use something else than money, but I doubt that they will switch to trading with chickens, etc. What is the point being in euro anyways if they use chickens to trade.
                              We all live in hope this will happen.

                              MaDalton, the EU is yet to respond. Given their track record. What do you thing the politicians will do this time? And should Merkel cave in, what's her odds on keeping the job?

                              I think the EU had to dump Greece a couple of years ago. I was hoping this mess would keep going closer to the UK referendum and the shit would hit the fan 6 months before. Ensuring the UK leaves. Then others leave and we go back to just a trade partnership.



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                              • aka123
                                Confirmed User
                                • Jul 2014
                                • 4450

                                #115
                                So, how Greek won't run out of money, any money? They get no new loans and their own tax collecting sucks. You say that they won't run out of other people's money? How is that possible? Who lends to them? They have already ran out of money, they defaulted at last week. This isn't what if scenario, it did already happen.

                                Comment

                                • MaDalton
                                  I am Amazing Content!
                                  • Feb 2004
                                  • 39861

                                  #116
                                  if i knew a solution i would not be sitting here selling porn
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                                  • Barry-xlovecam
                                    It's 42
                                    • Jun 2010
                                    • 18083

                                    #117
                                    I am surprised how well the markets have taken this. Maybe, the default is factored in?

                                    I can't see how the banks will be able to reopen for business as normal tomorrow.

                                    Greece is in a depression (or faux depression) with 25% unemployment and a banking system with no liquid currency. You will be able to buy a chicken for 1 euro soon if you have the coin in hand

                                    Comment

                                    • J. Falcon
                                      www.AdultCopywriters.com
                                      • May 2006
                                      • 31645

                                      #118
                                      Originally posted by Bjorn_Tasty1
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                                      • romeo22
                                        你自己去他媽的
                                        • Mar 2008
                                        • 23350

                                        #119
                                        Its called currently of the Former europian republic of greece

                                        Comment

                                        • Tasty1
                                          Bla bla blaa
                                          • Jan 2005
                                          • 9529

                                          #120
                                          In Holland they did a poll under the public, 63% of the people want Greece to leave. the EU. You can call it bluff what the politicians do, but it is the people from other countries that have to pay the bill and they showed many times they don't want to pay for Greece anymore. If the politicians now keep sending money, the people from other countries will vote more and mor anti .eu in coming elections. Helping Greece wold cost every dutchman 1000 euro and everybody can see they will never be able to take care of themselves. They came to the .EU because their political leaders lied about everything. The Dutch people is also lied to; everytime we sended money the politicians said we get it back with interest, while everybody already could see that we never could get back the money.

                                          The stockmaret isn't impressed. Yes, it went down the last days. But now we ae stil around the same as 3 weeks ago, and 2 weeks ago suddenly we rallied from 465 (current stock Index) to 485 in 1 week.... I think it would be more stable without Greece, cause that land only weakens the Euro. Except the money we lent to Greece, they also responsible for the drop down of the euro and stockmarkets. In reality the Greece costed the .EU loads of money. Kicking them out givs a signal that could make the euro and eu stronger. But in fact, poor countries keep coming in cause the politicians want them in.

                                          Well, the Greek people are fucked, by their own government who lied to get them in the .EU. If it is up to people in other countries Greece is out of the .EU. But you can see all political figues changing their mind and suddenly there will be money for Greece i think. Sorry for the people there, 30% unemployment and not a good vision for the future. But they are still part of the .eu, thy can emigrate.

                                          The banks are going bancrupt when Europe or Greece governemnt can help them. Costed bilion in other countries to save the banks, i thinkGreece doesn't have it anymore.

                                          everything is fake

                                          Comment

                                          • pornlaw
                                            Confirmed User
                                            • Feb 2007
                                            • 1902

                                            #121
                                            I find it interesting that Germany wouldn't be sitting where they are now if Greece as well as the UK and the U.S. had not nearly wiped out its debt after WW2. Seems like Merkel & Germany have forgotten from whence they came.

                                            And it seems like the rest of Europe has forgotten how Germany became a Nazi menace after WWI when the bankers refused to wipe out their war debt. If the banks have wiped that debt clean it's unlikely that Hilter and Co. would have ever come to power.

                                            Those that forget the past are doomed to repeat it.
                                            Michael

                                            www.AdultBizLaw.com

                                            Comment

                                            • MetaMan
                                              I AM WEB 2.0
                                              • Jan 2003
                                              • 28682

                                              #122
                                              Originally posted by pornlaw
                                              I find it interesting that Germany wouldn't be sitting where they are now if Greece as well as the UK and the U.S. had not nearly wiped out its debt after WW2. Seems like Merkel & Germany have forgotten from whence they came.

                                              And it seems like the rest of Europe has forgotten how Germany became a Nazi menace after WWI when the bankers refused to wipe out their war debt. If the banks have wiped that debt clean it's unlikely that Hilter and Co. would have ever come to power.

                                              Those that forget the past are doomed to repeat it.
                                              Germans: highly skilled. Pro business.
                                              Greeks: lazy socialsts.

                                              I think there is nothing else to understand here.

                                              The greeks are fucked because of cultural issues. They will not save themselves or build up out of this mess because they are lazy and culturally want a free ride.

                                              Germanies continued rise and self sufficiency is amazing.

                                              Comment

                                              • aka123
                                                Confirmed User
                                                • Jul 2014
                                                • 4450

                                                #123
                                                Originally posted by pornlaw
                                                I find it interesting that Germany wouldn't be sitting where they are now if Greece as well as the UK and the U.S. had not nearly wiped out its debt after WW2. Seems like Merkel & Germany have forgotten from whence they came.

                                                And it seems like the rest of Europe has forgotten how Germany became a Nazi menace after WWI when the bankers refused to wipe out their war debt. If the banks have wiped that debt clean it's unlikely that Hilter and Co. would have ever come to power.

                                                Those that forget the past are doomed to repeat it.
                                                That WWI stuff was much more than about bankers. Germany had to pay for western allies compensation about the war (reparation payments). France even occupied Ruhr valley after Germany failed to pay these compensations in time/ sufficiently.

                                                Comment

                                                • MaDalton
                                                  I am Amazing Content!
                                                  • Feb 2004
                                                  • 39861

                                                  #124
                                                  Originally posted by pornlaw
                                                  I find it interesting that Germany wouldn't be sitting where they are now if Greece as well as the UK and the U.S. had not nearly wiped out its debt after WW2. Seems like Merkel & Germany have forgotten from whence they came.

                                                  And it seems like the rest of Europe has forgotten how Germany became a Nazi menace after WWI when the bankers refused to wipe out their war debt. If the banks have wiped that debt clean it's unlikely that Hilter and Co. would have ever come to power.

                                                  Those that forget the past are doomed to repeat it.
                                                  you sure seem to hold a grudge... especially when you are insinuating that Merkel will be the next Hitler - at that point it becomes comical

                                                  and Greece has so far received 36 times the money Germany received through the Marshall Plan
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                                                  • pornlaw
                                                    Confirmed User
                                                    • Feb 2007
                                                    • 1902

                                                    #125
                                                    I never said Merkel would become Hitler. I said she has forgotten how Germany would not be the Germany of today if it's loans were not forgiven after WW2.

                                                    The amount of money is immaterial. If Europe takes a hardline approach on Greek debt - Russia & Putin will step in and we will be off to the races with the resurgence of a possible facist / communistic state in Greece.
                                                    Michael

                                                    www.AdultBizLaw.com

                                                    Comment

                                                    • MaDalton
                                                      I am Amazing Content!
                                                      • Feb 2004
                                                      • 39861

                                                      #126
                                                      Originally posted by pornlaw
                                                      I never said Merkel would become Hitler. I said she has forgotten how Germany would not be the Germany of today if it's loans were not forgiven after WW2.

                                                      The amount of money is immaterial. If Europe takes a hardline approach on Greek debt - Russia & Putin will step in and we will be off to the races with the resurgence of a possible facist / communistic state in Greece.
                                                      but you do understand that Greece does not come out of a recent war but has sneaked into the Euro, spent borrowed money on an over-inflated government, has no working tax system and now everyone should just forget about the money?

                                                      That's like you borrow me $500 so i can start my lemonade stand but instead i go drink with my buddies, do a few lines and when you ask me to repay you, i'd be saying "Sorry, money is gone, i dont have that lemonade stand either and please forget about the money, you never get it anyways."

                                                      and then i go to my other Euro buddies and tell them "go to pornlaw, he'll give you $500 for partying and doesn't need it back"
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                                                      • aka123
                                                        Confirmed User
                                                        • Jul 2014
                                                        • 4450

                                                        #127
                                                        Originally posted by pornlaw
                                                        I never said Merkel would become Hitler. I said she has forgotten how Germany would not be the Germany of today if it's loans were not forgiven after WW2.

                                                        The amount of money is immaterial. If Europe takes a hardline approach on Greek debt - Russia & Putin will step in and we will be off to the races with the resurgence of a possible facist / communistic state in Greece.
                                                        Putin has his own troubles. The days when they openhandedly supported every communist click in the world are over. Besides, I don't care. If they want communist or facist country, be my guest. They already have some sort of mix of the both.

                                                        Comment

                                                        • EddyTheDog
                                                          Just Doing My Own Thing
                                                          • Jan 2011
                                                          • 25433

                                                          #128
                                                          France will bail them out - They are the only country that can't afford for the EU to fail...

                                                          Comment

                                                          • RummyBoy
                                                            Confirmed User
                                                            • Dec 2009
                                                            • 2157

                                                            #129
                                                            Originally posted by EddyTheDog
                                                            France will bail them out - They are the only country that can't afford for the EU to fail...
                                                            French Banks hold almost $80 Billion of the Greek debt.....

                                                            Comment

                                                            • aka123
                                                              Confirmed User
                                                              • Jul 2014
                                                              • 4450

                                                              #130
                                                              Originally posted by RummyBoy
                                                              French Banks hold almost $80 Billion of the Greek debt.....

                                                              Most likely don't anymore (video is from 2012).


                                                              EDIT:

                                                              France 42 billion. And that is France as a country, not banks. Banks have bailed out. Greek debt is now in the hands of national and international institutions. Foreign banks have only 2,4 billion from the total cake. And now probably not even that (that news is from january)

                                                              Greek debt crisis: Who has most to lose? - Jan. 28, 2015

                                                              Comment

                                                              • arock10
                                                                Confirmed User
                                                                • Jan 2006
                                                                • 6217

                                                                #131
                                                                The first greek bailouts were really bailouts for German and French banks

                                                                Greece really has no choice to leave the euro unless their debt is heavily forgiving. The euro is dysfunctional because it's a system used acrossed countries but there is no coordination or unity... It's just doomed to repeat.

                                                                Greece needs to drop out of the euro, things will suck for a couple of years but things will get fixed. If they stay in the euro it's just going to be this situation to infinity every couple years


                                                                And the problem there is the Spain and Portugal and all the other shaky nations will realize they can free themselves too and recover after a couple of years. Austerity doesn't work when done this quickly because you economy shrinks faster then the cuts do

                                                                But hey at least the US isn't the bad guy for a change. We love deficit spending!

                                                                PS writing this in Greece right now. Everyone seems to be doing ok. Cause they are broke already lol
                                                                Sup

                                                                Comment

                                                                • aka123
                                                                  Confirmed User
                                                                  • Jul 2014
                                                                  • 4450

                                                                  #132
                                                                  Originally posted by arock10
                                                                  The first greek bailouts were really bailouts for German and French banks

                                                                  Greece really has no choice to leave the euro unless their debt is heavily forgiving. The euro is dysfunctional because it's a system used acrossed countries but there is no coordination or unity... It's just doomed to repeat.
                                                                  Of course there is coordination and unity, but mainly for the euro only (and trade). That is the problem. Euro is just fine, countries aren't (like Greece).

                                                                  Comment

                                                                  • Barry-xlovecam
                                                                    It's 42
                                                                    • Jun 2010
                                                                    • 18083

                                                                    #133

                                                                    Comment

                                                                    • davidclickpapa
                                                                      Confirmed User
                                                                      • May 2015
                                                                      • 983

                                                                      #134
                                                                      sorry if it was already here somewhere, but food for thought:

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                                                                      • michael.kickass
                                                                        Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                                        • Mar 2009
                                                                        • 11039

                                                                        #135
                                                                        Yep, prolly they'll go back to dracmas soon.
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                                                                        • Paul&John
                                                                          Confirmed User
                                                                          • Aug 2005
                                                                          • 8644

                                                                          #136
                                                                          Originally posted by davidclickpapa
                                                                          sorry if it was already here somewhere, but food for thought:

                                                                          Good video, however not sure if fiscal union is necessary in case every nation will maintain its deficit spendings.. which unfortunately doesn't seems like will happen anytime soon.. so there are 3 ultimate options: fiscal union, very strict rules on deficit spendings or break up of the monetary union (end of EURO)..
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