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Barry - 2257 has two criminal elements, notice & record keeping. I think probable cause will be loosely interpretered to mean - a good faith belief that there is action in the furtherance of a crime. Failure to post the proper notice is already evidence of a crime. That's what I would be telling a judge if I were standing there asking for a warrant.
Not posting a proper notice might be enough for probable cause for the warrant. I don't know. I do agree that with a proper notice being posted the govt will need to show at least the potential for a minor individual whom might have been used in a pornographic performance.
Since there's only been 1 conviction under 2257 and no appeals of the actual enforcement of the statute everything it's all speculation.
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