US going into recession

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  • Sami
    Confirmed User
    • Mar 2004
    • 2047

    #1

    US going into recession

    Just heard that on the news from Goldman Sachs



    if you have any money in equities ..... I would cash out on all stocks till we hit the bottom!

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  • Sami
    Confirmed User
    • Mar 2004
    • 2047

    #2
    In my own openion though.. we've already been in recession for about 3 months now!

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    • Cash
      Click on my TCG signature
      • Feb 2002
      • 20825

      #3
      It looks like it will be a recession ... Tough job for the next president.
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      Comment

      • notoldschool
        Confirmed User
        • Aug 2007
        • 5687

        #4
        Im glad Bush did such a great job. It would have been scary if we had someone else running the show for the past 8 years. Now if we can only get Mccain or Guliani in there, we should be safe for the next 8.
        No doubt one may quote history to support any cause, as the devil quotes scripture.
        -- Learned Hand

        http://www.bjpenn.com

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        • Sami
          Confirmed User
          • Mar 2004
          • 2047

          #5
          Bush did a pretty good job stock market wise if you think about it.

          Mainly due to his very hardwork bringing underlying commodities like Oil up to record highs

          hehe

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          • mn
            Confirmed User
            • Oct 2001
            • 1505

            #6
            bush fucked it all up... hopefully the next president can clean up the mess.

            a good start would be to stop invading random countries and use those money to pay off some debts instead so the fucking USD can be worth something again.

            Comment

            • wiggitywack
              Confirmed User
              • Mar 2004
              • 561

              #7
              yes, its clear this is happening

              $100 oil, housing still sucking balls, unemployment creeping up, consumer debt at all time high, dollar taking a beating and inflation pressure

              bound to happen.

              Comment

              • sumphatpimp
                Confirmed User
                • Aug 2002
                • 5235

                #8
                when Hillary gets in there she will fix all that stuff, after all she has Bill to help her, in between getting blowed by the interns.

                Comment

                • V_RocKs
                  Damn Right I Kiss Ass!
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 32451

                  #9
                  U just figured that out?

                  Comment

                  • tony299
                    lurker
                    • Aug 2002
                    • 57021

                    #10
                    This is going to be a fun year indeed.

                    Comment

                    • Snake Doctor
                      I'm Lenny2 Bitch
                      • Mar 2001
                      • 13449

                      #11
                      No, it's not a recession, and it doesn't look like there's going to be a recession.

                      The guys on cnbc have to say something, so they always bring on bulls and bears to discuss things. It doesn't mean anything....this is actually a GREAT time to buy equities, with the market being as low as it is (1391 last I checked for the S&P)
                      sig too big

                      Comment

                      • Nydahl
                        Confirmed User
                        • Sep 2002
                        • 6655

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Snake Doctor
                        No, it's not a recession, and it doesn't look like there's going to be a recession.

                        The guys on cnbc have to say something, so they always bring on bulls and bears to discuss things. It doesn't mean anything....this is actually a GREAT time to buy equities, with the market being as low as it is (1391 last I checked for the S&P)

                        actualy it looks like its gonna be but as far sa I know your present goverment is preparing some tax system modification which could allow people to buy more and start up the econy again...
                        2008 is goona be hard 1 - specialy for content producers like me ....
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                        • teomaxxx
                          Confirmed User
                          • May 2003
                          • 2737

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Snake Doctor
                          No, it's not a recession, and it doesn't look like there's going to be a recession.

                          The guys on cnbc have to say something, so they always bring on bulls and bears to discuss things. It doesn't mean anything....this is actually a GREAT time to buy equities, with the market being as low as it is (1391 last I checked for the S&P)

                          To buy equities in the face of worst housing recession since 1930, 100 Usd oil, high inflation and possible implosion of few financial companies is really stupid. Only recession proof stocks and few other exceptions from S&P could be good ones.
                          Where is the common sense?
                          Any bounce will be only because of rate cut pump rally, exactly as it happened in December and will be given back.
                          I will bump this thread in few months only to show stupidity of your call

                          Comment

                          • Rochard
                            Jägermeister Test Pilot
                            • Dec 2001
                            • 75761

                            #14
                            The housing market help seal the final nail in the coffin...
                            Herschel Savage
                            Brooklyn, NY

                            Comment

                            • teomaxxx
                              Confirmed User
                              • May 2003
                              • 2737

                              #15
                              Originally posted by teomaxxx
                              To buy equities in the face of worst housing recession since 1930, 100 Usd oil, high inflation and possible implosion of few financial companies is really stupid.
                              Only recession proof stocks and few other exceptions from S&P could be good ones.
                              Where is the common sense?

                              I told you so. Maybe there will be some bounce on the way to the recession, but any gains will be given back. This week was one big bloodbath and I am kicking on my head, why I covered some of my put options and why I didnt sell some of my stocks and bought them much cheaper today.

                              Yesterday and today decline isnt mainly about recession, its mainly stupid market who finally figured out, that two of the biggest monoline insurers (ABK, MBI) are going under...as their every other competitor already did it.

                              these two companies, with 1.5 bilion market cap, insure around 1.2 trilion of debt.
                              http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MBI&...=on&z=m&q=l&c=
                              http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ABK&t=3m

                              "Losing the AAA stamp would cripple the bond insurers and throw doubt on the ratings of $2.4 trillion of debt the industry guarantees, causing as much as $200 billion in losses, according to data compiled by Bloomberg."

                              Their current AAA ratings are biggest joke ever and once they are done (MBI, ABK) and bankrupt, you can talk about immediate 100$ billion write-off in financial industry.
                              That day wont be great for any stock.

                              Comment

                              • Diligent
                                Confirmed User
                                • Aug 2003
                                • 1594

                                #16
                                Well... whatever You guys wanna call it, from a greater perspective it's got more to do with globalisation than bad politics...

                                These things were happening already when Bush junior got elected the first time, he and his puppet masters have known that all along.

                                Walmart as a company has knowingly profited from this directly for years by now... I don't think things will take a turn for the better with changes in national politics.

                                I can tell You all we here in Sweden have only seen marginal turns for something better even with a 180 degree turn in national politics the last few years.
                                (We have a highly right wing government at the moment, with a socialist government preceeding it (for over a decade) a few years ago..)

                                Both wings blame eachother for the downturns in the "ecomony" (Idiocracy, the movie), but reality is western world countries are affected by to us negative effects of globalisation.
                                Last edited by Diligent; 01-18-2008, 11:28 AM.
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                                • aico
                                  Moo Moo Cow
                                  • Mar 2004
                                  • 14748

                                  #17
                                  Going? please, we've been in it.

                                  Comment

                                  • directfiesta
                                    Too lazy to set a custom title
                                    • Oct 2002
                                    • 30178

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Snake Doctor
                                    No, it's not a recession, and it doesn't look like there's going to be a recession.

                                    The guys on cnbc have to say something, so they always bring on bulls and bears to discuss things. It doesn't mean anything....this is actually a GREAT time to buy equities, with the market being as low as it is (1391 last I checked for the S&P)


                                    I know that Asspimple is stoopid ... As he says, it is a FACT !

                                    But I can't figure out how he can breathe or type , at the same time ....

                                    Comment

                                    • Big Red Machine
                                      Confirmed User
                                      • Jan 2005
                                      • 9586

                                      #19
                                      March is going to be the peak for the set backs (ARMS)

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                                      • xmas13
                                        Confirmed User
                                        • Dec 2004
                                        • 5176

                                        #20
                                        Business has never been so good, i'm a recession enthusiast.
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                                        • teomaxxx
                                          Confirmed User
                                          • May 2003
                                          • 2737

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by teomaxxx
                                          Yesterday and today decline isnt mainly about recession, its mainly stupid market who finally figured out, that two of the biggest monoline insurers (ABK, MBI) are going under...as their every other competitor already did it.

                                          these two companies, with 1.5 bilion market cap, insure around 1.2 trilion of debt.
                                          http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MBI&...=on&z=m&q=l&c=
                                          http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ABK&t=3m

                                          "Losing the AAA stamp would cripple the bond insurers and throw doubt on the ratings of $2.4 trillion of debt the industry guarantees, causing as much as $200 billion in losses, according to data compiled by Bloomberg."

                                          Their current AAA ratings are biggest joke ever and once they are done (MBI, ABK) and bankrupt, you can talk about immediate 100$ billion write-off in financial industry.
                                          That day wont be great for any stock.

                                          I should mention that ABK was downgraded to AA just before close on friday. I fully stand behind what I stated here, the downgrade is just start of future 100$ billion write-off in financial industry. and everyone knows that ABK, MBI insurance is worth shit.

                                          You better read this article to understand what whole game is about.
                                          http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...011803592.html

                                          "Everyone thinks they're looking at the cliff over Armageddon," said Ed Rombach, senior derivatives analyst at Thomson Financial. "If you think the write-downs have been bad so far, the next write-downs could be twice as big."
                                          Last edited by teomaxxx; 01-22-2008, 12:10 AM.

                                          Comment

                                          • AlienQ - BANNED FOR LIFE
                                            best designer on GFY
                                            • Mar 2003
                                            • 30307

                                            #22
                                            Yup Unemployment is down awright, we got Educated Professionals working at Starbucks and Walmart or serving fast food.

                                            Definatly a step forward...
                                            Last edited by AlienQ - BANNED FOR LIFE; 01-22-2008, 01:37 AM.

                                            Comment

                                            • nico-t
                                              emperor of my world
                                              • Aug 2004
                                              • 29901

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Snake Doctor
                                              No, it's not a recession, and it doesn't look like there's going to be a recession.
                                              great prediction

                                              Comment

                                              • bobby666
                                                boots are my religion
                                                • Nov 2005
                                                • 21765

                                                #24
                                                i soon will get even less euros for my earned dollars

                                                Comment

                                                • brandonstills
                                                  Confirmed User
                                                  • Dec 2007
                                                  • 1964

                                                  #25
                                                  Every time everyone complains about the economy I get excited because that's when I start making serious $$$.

                                                  Brandon Stills
                                                  Industry and programming veteran
                                                  [email protected] | skype: brandonstills | ICQ #495-171-318

                                                  Comment

                                                  • slapass
                                                    Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                    • Nov 2002
                                                    • 14625

                                                    #26
                                                    have t osay it looks like a nice day to do some buying


                                                    Comment

                                                    • sexuallyhealed
                                                      So Fucking Banned
                                                      • Sep 2005
                                                      • 532

                                                      #27
                                                      There's no real money left in online porn anymore for most people. And now there's going to be even less when people are not spending anything for memberships.

                                                      Comment

                                                      • Holly
                                                        Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                        • Jun 2003
                                                        • 10017

                                                        #28
                                                        Slow down- yes. Recession- not yet.

                                                        I was listening to an analyst say that the magic number seems to be 26. Meaning that recessions have always been a natural part of the economy, every 6-8 years or so. But when you look at the numbers, the market generally falls at least 26% on average when we hit the r word. The Dow is about 15% off its high right now, so if we truly are getting ready for recession, then it's actually going to get worse. Unemployment is still historically low, also.

                                                        I don't think Bush's stimulus package will do squat, though. We'll still be bombarded with oil/gas prices, foreclosure horror stories, and interest rate speculation every time we turn the tv on.
                                                        War National Damn Champions Eagle

                                                        Comment

                                                        • Axzar
                                                          Random Jackass
                                                          • Feb 2003
                                                          • 1837

                                                          #29
                                                          The sky IS falling.

                                                          Comment

                                                          • directfiesta
                                                            Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                            • Oct 2002
                                                            • 30178

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Holly

                                                            I don't think Bush's stimulus package will do squat, though. We'll still be bombarded with oil/gas prices, foreclosure horror stories, and interest rate speculation every time we turn the tv on.
                                                            OIL prices :

                                                            2001 : $22.00
                                                            2008 : $98.00

                                                            enough said.
                                                            I know that Asspimple is stoopid ... As he says, it is a FACT !

                                                            But I can't figure out how he can breathe or type , at the same time ....

                                                            Comment

                                                            • ajrocks
                                                              Confirmed User
                                                              • Nov 2004
                                                              • 4526

                                                              #31
                                                              US has been in the shitter for a while now. The money guys are finally having the balls to say it. It will take another 3 months before the government admits it.
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                                                              • Holly
                                                                Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                                • Jun 2003
                                                                • 10017

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by directfiesta
                                                                OIL prices :

                                                                2001 : $22.00
                                                                2008 : $98.00

                                                                enough said.
                                                                I'm not sure what you mean. I wasn't implying that oil prices are fine. I meant I don't think the stimulus plan will be enough to stop the slide.
                                                                War National Damn Champions Eagle

                                                                Comment

                                                                • pussyluver
                                                                  Clueless OleMan
                                                                  • Mar 2003
                                                                  • 11009

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Axzar
                                                                  The sky IS falling.
                                                                  Again?

                                                                  Comment

                                                                  • tornell
                                                                    Confirmed User
                                                                    • Nov 2002
                                                                    • 4235

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The U.S. Federal Reserve cut two key interest rates by 0.75 percent to 3.5 percent -- but Wall Street still saw heavy losses Tuesday when it opened after two days of global share turmoil. In early trading the Dow Jones was down by more than 400 points while the Nadaq fell by 5 percent
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                                                                    • teomaxxx
                                                                      Confirmed User
                                                                      • May 2003
                                                                      • 2737

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by teomaxxx
                                                                      To buy equities in the face of worst housing recession since 1930, 100 Usd oil, high inflation and possible implosion of few financial companies is really stupid. Only recession proof stocks and few other exceptions from S&P could be good ones.
                                                                      Where is the common sense?
                                                                      Any bounce will be only because of rate cut pump rally, exactly as it happened in December and will be given back.
                                                                      I will bump this thread in few months only to show stupidity of your call
                                                                      so here is my bump Lenny, another bad call you made, you should be called Cramereconomist

                                                                      Comment

                                                                      • brandonstills
                                                                        Confirmed User
                                                                        • Dec 2007
                                                                        • 1964

                                                                        #36
                                                                        Options traders must be loving it right now. There's so much fucking money to be made right now if you have the money to invest and know how to invest in all kinds of markets. You can usually make faster returns in a down market because they go down so much faster than they go up.

                                                                        Brandon Stills
                                                                        Industry and programming veteran
                                                                        [email protected] | skype: brandonstills | ICQ #495-171-318

                                                                        Comment

                                                                        • xmas13
                                                                          Confirmed User
                                                                          • Dec 2004
                                                                          • 5176

                                                                          #37
                                                                          R.i.p.
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