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Old 04-01-2012, 05:56 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by gideongallery View Post
and like i said you think it a lottery because your to stupid to know how it works

It really not that hard

calculate your money per view on youtube/filelockers

buy views that are cheaper than that level

worst case senerio you break even (earn as much as you spend)

best case a tiny portion will like the content you given them for free and will pay you full price /part price for your shit.

Even the worst case your pocketing money Equal to what you got from the kickstarter campaign

best case your pocketing a shit load more.
Like I said. . . it is a lottery ticket.

Assuming she has the worst case scenario as you present it (which likely is not as easy as you portray it) and she makes $77K off this record. After she pays her taxes she will have around $50K left. That is a nice chunk of cash. She lives in New York (according to her Kickstarter profile) so that $50K likely won't last her long. Even if she stretches it out over a year it is still just one year and now she has to worry about doing it again.

Assume she gets lucky and she makes 5 times that much. Great so she makes $350K. After taxes she will have around $225K. That is assuming she isn't paying an accountant, a lawyer or anything else. That is very good money. That puts her in the top 1% of earners in this country. Be honest. . .what are the odds of that happening? Even if it does happen what are the odds of it happening more than once because that $225K isn't going to last forever.

The overwhelming odds are that 5 years from now Julia will be doing something else for a living. That isn't a terrible tragedy. If she has some success (which in a way she already has) she has done more than most people will ever do in the music business. She can look back on the good memories and enjoy them. But the odds of her taking that $77K and turning it into something that can launch a career that can last for a very long time are very VERY low. Like I said, I hope she does it, but I am a realist. I worked for a record label for 3 years. 99% of bands/musicians fail in the long term. it is just how it works.
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