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Old 02-16-2012, 10:29 AM  
Shotsie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jensen View Post
But based on your logic, the brewers should be a lock under, not over, they are only 2-8 over 82 the past 10 years. No matter how good they look on paper

I'm not really looking for "safe" bets, I'm looking for value. If there is a 10% chance of something it can still be ton of value.
Fair enough. I wasn't aware of that, but if I was gonna make that bet that's something I would definitely take into consideration. Out of all those picks the only one I would be confident was a "lock" is the Marlins over 82, and I forgot to mention that they have Carlos Zambrano starting in their rotation this year, too. They're definitely gonna be contenders in the NL East. I might go so far as to say they'll take the NL wildcard this year.
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