Quote:
Originally Posted by Shotsie
Well, if the best pic you can come up with for season totals is the Astros at under 62, I gotta question your expertise a little. Last year was the first year in the franchises 50 year history a team lost over a hundred games. I'm not a handicapper, but i'd say the chances of them repeating that abysmal feat - statistically - is pretty low. No matter how bad they look on paper.
I looked at the totals and it looks like there's a ton of safer bets:
Milwaukee at 82 - over. The Brewers finished 96-66 last season. Apparently, this handicapper thinks Prince Fielder won all those games on his own. Even if Ryan Braun's 50 game suspension goes through, they're still good for over 82 wins. which brings us to our next team.
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That is exactly what I like to hear, if the squares loves the overs, I'm going to love the under. But based on your logic, the brewers should be a lock under, not over, they are only 2-8 over 82 the past 10 years. No matter how good they look on paper
I'm not really looking for "safe" bets, I'm looking for value. If there is a 10% chance of something it can still be ton of value.