kane

Maybe in the House, but very unlikely in the Senate. The guys at fivethirtyeight.com are all about polls and stats and they are pretty much dead on with predicting elections. At the moment (and it could change there is a lot of time until the election) they only give the republicans about a 10% chance of winning back a majority in the senate. They have about a 50% chance of winning the house, but with the senate there are just too many people retiring and too many seats that are safe for the democrats. There are only a few seats that are really in play the republicans would have to win every one of them. It could happen, but it is very unlikely.

I think we will end up with a democrat controlled Senate (albeit with a much smaller majority) and then whoever ends up controlling the house will have it by only a handful of seats and at this point it is anyone's game.