Go with the Lakers in this matchup...even without their second leading scorer...Washington does NOT play well away from home and the Lakers are playing great @ home...
Wash is 2-9 ATS their L11 games vs a team with a winning SU home record...Wash is 2-10 ATS the L12 meetings...the favorite is 9-3 ATS the L12 meetings...LAL are 7-2 ATS their L9 vs SE...LAL are 11-5 ATS playing on 1 days rest...LAL are 10-5 @ home ATS while Washington is just 5-5 ATS on the road...LAKERS ARE A LOCK...
your threads always make for great conversation pieces when i watch sports..
I say " theres this crazy gambling addict i know on the net thats got $xk on this game.."
Smokeman...... Your brain as always caught my intrest in the past..
You'd be a good over under point analysis guy..
Think about this. Here is my system for picking over under games..
Youd be good at this as well. Need to get you into this.
If one were to average out the defensive stats for each team and take the line on the side of the game into consideration, you could probably come to making a pretty good totals line.I do this plus adjust the projection for each team and produce a number that I think each team will score tonight. This is known as average probablity theory. I do this for each game played in the NBA and seek a deviant of 12 points to make a totals play. In this contest I have .....
Smokeman...... Your brain as always caught my intrest in the past..
You'd be a good over under point analysis guy..
Think about this. Here is my system for picking over under games..
Youd be good at this as well. Need to get you into this.
If one were to average out the defensive stats for each team and take the line on the side of the game into consideration, you could probably come to making a pretty good totals line.I do this plus adjust the projection for each team and produce a number that I think each team will score tonight. This is known as average probablity theory. I do this for each game played in the NBA and seek a deviant of 12 points to make a totals play. In this contest I have .....
Detroit 90 Seattle 82
true , im just such a pessimist i always assume if i'm good at numbers , they have someone who is 10 times better setting them .. obviously that always isnt the case..
Bone I got the Pistons in a few bets already. Won with the Raptors earlier.
That under play does look pretty good also. I'm hoping the eagles can pull off the game today and I'll be good.
why would you do that with the competition among the books? I break even hitting 51.23% while you have to hit 52.36% .. aka.. a 6k bet would make you $5460 back while I'd cash in $5712 .. $252 free cash
why would you do that with the competition among the books? I break even hitting 51.23% while you have to hit 52.36% .. aka.. a 6k bet would make you $5460 back while I'd cash in $5712 .. $252 free cash
agree on the detroit pick.. got 74% su on them .. they should win with around 9-10
got lakers at 65% su so giving 5 sounds a bit to risky.. (5.5 atm) got them even at my other rankings and washington isn't that bad.. they look to be hitting their current road trip with more confidence after winning seven of their last nine, including their first two road wins (vs. new york and philadelphia)...
as for the under 190.5 I've only got under at 48% with an estimate on 194 points.. can't agree with that one..
I cashed in on three diff bets on the Pistons game. Thanks for the Under call bone also took Indiana like Jensen mentioned and they pulled away late in the game. Nice day today!
hey boneprone
the wierdest bet which was an absolute lock was st louis +3 and st louis (+125)
5 units each, vs oakland....oakland being a 3 point favor lol
thats just dumb
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