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Old 10-23-2009, 01:54 AM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by EscortBiz View Post
if there are no serious laws passed it dont matter if companies decide to charge they will go out of business, the customer decides who stays and goes and people have access to tons of stolen content online, almost anything they can dream of, wait until fiber optic surfing starts, watch and see people emailing and uploading gigs of shit to friends and family, stoage is no longer an issue, burning dvd's no longer an issue, and once download speeds wont be an issue everything will just collapse.

I mean once the older generation goes forget it, TV will be a thing of the past, seriously how much time do you spend now watching TV vs 10 years ago, now think how much you will spend in 10 years from now, more and more people are canceling their cable service or large parts of it.

You really think there will be the 10 o'clock nightly news in 15 years from now? only ones holding that up are senior citizens, thats why every other commercial now starts with "are you over the age of 150 and in need of a wheelchair" thats the only people watching it, or "life alert commercials" etc

and for companies banking on online advertising, I mean that sucker phase is dieing out quick, as more companies notice little clicks on their ads they are cutting back on advertising or demanding lower rates, rates today on large networks like AOL are 80% less than in 02-03, and you can dictate your own terms.
I agree. The new generation is changing the media world. The demand it free and fast and companies are bowing to them and giving it to them in hopes of making a few dollars off of them. Some may, but most will eventually fail. They will change the how things are consumed. Like you said TV is a dying media. Ratings are down across the board. Part of that is because now there are more shows then ever before available, but it is also because people spend a lot more time online. It won't be long until most people have high speed cable and can stream anything and everything right to their TV.

I can see it in myself. These days I still have cable, but only to watch sports and a few TV shows. 10 years ago I had a show or two a night I would watch. Now next to nothing. If I want entertainment there is plenty online to compete with those shows. It also used to be if you wanted to download bit torrent files and things like that it was tough. You had to hit warez sites and other sites and actually know a little about what you were looking for and doing. Now three searches on google and you are downloading movies that are still in the theater. For me the ultimate example of this is my brother's sister in law. She is not a very bright person and knows just enough about computers and the internet to be dangerous (her computer is always infected with tons of spyware and viruses), but she downloads music and movies like crazy. If she can figure it out, anyone can figure it out.

I do think there will be a change in the income stream though. Companies simply won't make big movies or promote big musical acts or create expensive TV shows if they can't make money with them. I think eventually laws will catch up to the technology and the business demands will change. I think there will always be a market for movies to be seen in a theater because people enjoy the experience of a movie on the big screen, the hard part will be figuring out how to stop/monetize those that don't care about the big screen experience and just want to see the movie now on their computer or TV.

Like you say though, if the laws don't change to help protect some of these companies they will be in big trouble and we could see the end of certain types of entertainment because they just are no longer profitable and everything will look like Youtube which is to say it will be 90% shit mixed in with 10% of stuff worth watching.
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