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You make it sound like a 50/50 shot either way, and that's not the case. We KNEW he didn't have a nuke and we knew he didn't have stockpiles of WMD's, but we USED the specter of that possibility to justify an invasion of a sovereign nation for what appear to be strictly personal feelings on the part of GWB.
In most cases our intelligence is strong one way or the other.
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