Well, #1, no pollster is gonna say "yeah, we're not very accurate." And #2, it really has nothing to do with the rising use of cell phone. It has to do with the declining rate of actually HAVING a landline, and who that demographic is. I'm not saying it's going to be anything other than a factor in the polling--Barack has the vote, just by more than we see in the polls.
He will lose some votes due to Bradley effect, but more than offset it by the increased black turnout, which will be more than the polls show, and the unpolled cellphone only kids, who I think till turn out in record numbers for their age group.
My call is still Obama by a 6% margin, with 320 or more electoral votes.
