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Old 10-08-2008, 10:33 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
To me McCain only being 10 points down while the rest of the world adores Obama is easy to explain.

First, if you live outside the US your exposure to US politics is pretty limited. Bush is very unpopular around the world and many countries connect McCain directly to Bush so they don't like him. Obama is seen by many as going in a different direction if only because he has said we should have never invaded Iraq (something most countries in the world agree with).

Second. The republicans know how to win elections. They have three basic goals.

1. ignite the culture war. To do this you preach the evils of the liberals to your hardcore base and tell them how horrible things will be for them under the mighty communist foot of the oppressing liberals. Let them know that abortions will be happening on every street corner and your 2nd grader will be taught to put on a condom. Forget that it isn't true, true has nothing to do with politics.

2. Now that your base is pissed off and rallying you shimmy just enough to the center to get the more moderate of the conservatives on your side. You tell these people that the evil liberals will take away their guns and that they will raise their taxes through the roof and give all that money to lazy people on welfare. These people work hard, you tell them, they shouldn't be paying for those who don't want to work.

3. Hope for rain. If it rains there will be a small turnout for the election. If there is a small turnout the republicans have a better shot of winning because they know their base is organized (unlike the liberal base which is all over the map. Half are too pissed to vote for anyone and the other half are lit out of their minds, eating twinkies and watching spongebob) and they will show up and vote. The lower the voter turnout the better it is for the more organized and historically that is the republicans.

4. understand that most people are not informed and don't care to be. Most people go to work, come home, run their kids to soccer or football practice, cook dinner, wash dishes and laundry then they eat and relax in front of the TV for a couple of hours before going to bed. They don't want to turn on the news or read the paper or a magazine or get online and read websites. They want to watch a sitcom or two, maybe watch a movie or an episode of CSI:Wherever then go to bed and start the day over.

When people make political decisions many of them look around and take inventory of their lives. If they have a decent house and a car that runs good and a decent job and things are pretty much okay...they are pretty happy and content and have no real reason to get involved too much in the process so when they see the election happening they catch a few sound bites, form an opinion and be done with it. If they hear McCain call Obama a liberal, for some that is enough. They don't care about reason. He is a liberal and that is a terrible thing to be so they won't vote for him. End of story no more research needed.

In the end it is not that we are stupid country. We aren't. We have stupid people in our country, but as a whole we are not dumb. The idea that America is populated by idiots is one formed by people who do not know us, have not been here and who themselves are uniformed. Our problem is that we are content. We are fat and relaxed and often self centered and that complacency makes it easy for some politicians, both republican and democrat, to convince those who are complacent to see things their way.
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