Quote:
Originally Posted by Snake Doctor
Obama would have to fuck up something awful to lose at this point.
The farther McCain falls behind, the more desperate his stunts look, and the more they hurt him.
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But McCain hasn't fallen far behind. I do think Palin is a liability that could bring down the ticket, yet I don't know if Thursday's debate is going to be disastrous like so many think. I didn't think Obama was going to wipe the floor with McCain either while everybody was making that prediction. Neither are fantastic debators.
Anyway, here's an interesting chart comparing previous year polling with this year:
2000 2004 2008
All Gore +0 Bush +3 Obama +9
Men Bush +11 Bush +11 Even
Women Gore +11 Kerry +3 Obama +16
Whites Bush +12 Bush +17 McCain +5
Blacks Gore +81 Kerry +77 Obama +93
White men Bush +24 Bush +25 McCain +14
White women Bush +1 Bush +11 Obama +2
Democrats Gore +75 Kerry +78 Obama +78
Independents Bush +2 Kerry +1 Obama +14
Republicans Bush +83 Bush +87 McCain +75
White Catholics Bush +6 Bush +13 McCain +1
WEPs Bush +57 McCain +50
18-29 Gore +1 Kerry +9 Obama +29
30-44 Bush +1 Bush +7 McCain +6
45-59 Bush +1 Bush +3 Even
60+ Gore +4 Bush +8 McCain +6
65+ Gore +3 Bush +5 Obama +1
Suburbanites Bush +4 Bush +5 McCain +8
Women Gore +5 Kerry +3 Even
White women Gore +0 Bush +9 McCain +14
Married Wh Wom Bush +8 Bush +21 McCain +24
White non-coll. Bush +17 Bush +23 McCain +17
White college Bush +8 Bush +11 Obama +9
Liberals Gore +67 Kerry +72 Obama +81
Moderates Gore +8 Kerry +9 Obama +26
Conservatives Bush +64 Bush +69 McCain +65
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/beh...bate_edit.html