Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
Polling is not an exact science, but it is a science in that it has a system that it uses and a formula that it follows.
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I do agree with the exit poll stuff, and yes the last elections really screwed that up.
With the polls, they just use trends to calculate the data, they have tons of trend data to use. From local to previous fed elections. I'm sure the poll data comes into play. Other than the last couple of elections, you have to go way back to Kennedy to see a close race that probably couldn't just be guessed.
But look at the numbers, the ranges they are all 45 to 50, the "guess" isn't all that hard to make when you have years and 1000's of election trends to follow.
And it's funny to see 2000, when we know Gore really won but all but a few say Bush. Think about it, Gore won the popular, the polls-poll the people, they say Bush won. Nothing else needs to be said.