Thread: Not one thread about Clinton's victory?
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Old 04-23-2008, 08:15 PM  
Snake Doctor
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Libertine View Post
Here's a good example of Obama's big problem:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...t/florida.html

In Florida, Obama doesn't have the slightest chance of beating McCain. Hillary, on the other hand, would actually have some chance of beating McCain.
Two things.

1) Obama never campaigned in Florida. In every state where he has campaigned his numbers have gone up. In Ohio and Pennsylvania he started out down by over 20 points and closed to within 10 in just a few weeks. Logic would dictate that his number in Florida would rise as well once he started campaigning there.


2) General election polls taken before the party conventions are worthless. The election is in 7 months. 4 months ago, before Iowa, Hillary was ahead nationwide by 20 points....things obviously didn't stay that way.

GatorB will prove my point for me...

Quote:
Originally Posted by GatorB View Post
You know this time 4 years ago Kerry led Bush by 15 points. how'd that turn out?
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