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Old 04-23-2008, 06:45 PM  
Libertine
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Join Date: May 2002
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Young View Post
Obama's problem?

Colorado

Rasmussen. 4/16. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (3/17 results)

McCain (R) 43 (46)
Obama (D) 46 (46)

McCain (R) 50 (52)
Clinton (D) 36 (38)

North Carolina:

Rasmussen. 4/10. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (3/20 results)

McCain (R) 47 (51)
Obama (D) 47 (42)

McCain (R) 51 (50)
Clinton (D) 40 (34)

California

Rasmussen. 4/16. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (3/12 results)

McCain (R) 43 (38)
Obama (D) 50 (53)

McCain (R) 42 (39)
Clinton (D) 47 (46)


Minnesota

SurveyUSA. 4/11-13. Likely voters. MoE 4.3% (3/14-16 results)

McCain (R) 43 (47)
Obama (D) 49 (46)

McCain (R) 46 (46)
Clinton (D) 47 (49)

Washington:

SurveyUSA. 4/14-17. Likely voters. MoE 4% (3/14-16 results)

McCain (R) 40 (47)
Obama (D) 53 (48)

McCain (R) 45 (47)
Clinton (D) 48 (47)


Arizona.

Rasmussen. 4/15. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines)

McCain (R) 57
Obama (D) 37

McCain (R) 60
Clinton (D) 32



This is ALL post Reverend Wright. And all of these numbers reflect an untouched, untested, and unvetted John McCain due to the Dem race. Now are you going to tell me that polls don't matter? I can post more. I grabbed these quickly off the KOS but one visit to Rasmussen and you'll see that this is a trend. He loses Florida but she loses all the "states that don't matter". Stop drinking the Clinton Kool-Aid. It's amazing how they'll make a statement and every believes that it must be true since the Clinton's said it.
Eh, have you even looked at the polls you posted? In only 1 of those Clinton loses where Obama would win, and in another Obama and McCain tie where Clinton would lose.

Meanwhile, here's an Ohio to add to the Florida:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...dent/ohio.html

Or, here's a more useful overall comparison of electoral votes:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp200...aps/Apr23.html Clinton 289 McCain 239 Tied 10
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp200...aps/Apr23.html Obama 269 McCain 254 Tied 15

Obviously, these are all just polls, and things will still change. The point should be clear, though.

Now, Clinton doesn't have a chance in hell of getting the Dem nomination, so I'm rooting for Obama to win the general election. That doesn't take away from the fact that Clinton would have had a better chance of beating McCain.
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