Quote:
Originally Posted by baddog
You are completely wrong. Gallup just released a poll a couple weeks ago that said 20% of Obama's supporters would vote for McCain, and 29% of Clinton's would vote for McCain if their candidate did not win.
Neither has enough to win the nomination prior to the convention, and neither will. You keep forgetting about the Electoral College, and Clinton has the states that matter.
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General election polls taken before the party conventions are meaningless. Any political pro will tell you that.
The same way that the national primary polls taken before the Iowa caucuses were meaningless. Clinton obviously hasn't won by 20% nationwide, even though those early polls showed her with that much of a lead or more.
If your electoral college argument is correct, then the Dems might as well pack up and go home because John McCain won New York, California, Illinois, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Washington, Maryland, Wisconsin, Vermont, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
Looks like no matter who we nominate McCain will win 45+ states in the general because he won them in the primary.