Quote:
Originally Posted by Tempest
The last poll data (for all that's really worth) I heard about said that Hillary vs. McCain would be very tight but that she'd probably win.. By comparison, Obama vs. McCain would have a much higher gap.. either way.. either he'd blow out McCain or he'd get slaughtered... In other words, they just don't know when it comes to Obama.... I know which way I'd rather go if I was voting..
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This is a pretty cool site with all kinds of data. They take many different polls and list them all then make an average of them all.
Here is McCain V Clinton last updated yesterday.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...inton-224.html It shows McCain, but by less than a point so it is very close.
Here is Obama V McCain updated yesterday
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...obama-225.html
Also very close with Obama ahead.
The reason I think Hillary would lose to him is that the Christian right don't like McCain and there is a good chance they won't support him - unless he is going against Hilary. They may not like McCain, but they hate the Clintons so there is a decent chance they would support McCain and that would mean Hillary now would have to find a way to activate the far left which is a difficult thing to do.
The Christian right might not jump to McCain's support if he is going against Obama. If you you factor in that (potential) loss of support with the fact that Obama could get black people and young people out to vote (two groups that tend to stay home on election day) it gives him a better chance.
Either way I imagine it will be close. If it is McCain V Clinton I think it could be one of the ugliest, dirtiest campaigns we have ever seen. Both candidates have been around forever and have many skeletons in the closet if the mud starts to fly there could be a lot of ammo for both groups.