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Old 02-20-2008, 04:12 AM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlienQ View Post
If Hillary were to win the nomination Republicans would certainly have had alot to worry about.

Now the Democrats will have an inexperienced noob.
I actually disagree. I think the republicans want Hillary.

the reason I say this is because McCain has many problems as a candidate, the main one is that the far right christian conservatives don't like him. They have already said they won't support him and without them getting elected will be very difficult. The republicans sold their souls to the christian right about 20 years ago and are now finding out how it feels when they abandon you. look at the 2006 congressional elections. The christian right turned their backs on the party and they lost the house an senate. That said they hate hillary even more then McCain so they might support McCain just as a way of combating hillary. They don't really have anything against obama though so there is a good chance they will not support McCain against him.

obama has also energized the party. Look at today's primaries. Over 1.1 million democrats turned out to vote in the primary, only around 350K republicans did. That is a huge disparity. Now many of the republicans may have stayed home because they see McCain as having had already won the nomination so no need voting, but it is still a telling number. Obama is a rock star where 25,000 people show up to see him everywhere he goes. If he re-energizes the young people and the base of the democratic party (which is appears he has done) and can actually get them to the polls he will be very hard to beat.
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