Quote:
Originally Posted by Snake Doctor
Actually I disagree with this conventional wisdom that says she has an advantage in Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania.
She "used" to have a big advantage in Iowa, and South Carolina.
A month ago she was 20 points ahead nationally and in most of the Super Tuesday states.
By Super Tuesday Obama had caught her, and won more votes and more delegates on that day...and has won everything since.
The longer this goes on the better he does, and he's proven that when he's had time to campaign in a state, he does much better there. (Which is why I think she was still able to hold onto some of the Super Tuesday states...there was only 5 or 6 days to campaign in 22 states, not enough time for him)
By the time March 4 gets here I think he could be ahead in Texas and Ohio, and that will be game, set, match.  |
Yep, I read today that people in her campaign had admitted that if she doesn't win Texas and Ohio on March 4th (or come within a few $ of winning) she will pretty much be forced to drop out. Since the Dems split up delegates she could go on and still get delegates, but she is having trouble raising money and if she keeps losing she knows she won't get the support of the super delegates. Looks like Obama found the right time to peak.