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Originally Posted by kane
Well, If you believe the polls (and they aren't always 100% but are often close) both Hillary and Obama wipe the floor with Mit. Here is the site http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo.../national.html
It looks like the country might be more ready to for a black guy or a woman than people want to think. |
Kerry had big leads early in 2004 too.
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The reality is that many people who won't vote for Obama simply because he is black live in backwoods conservative states that he wouldn't win anyway. Since we have the electoral college and not a popular vote for president it doesn't matter if everyone in some of these states vote against him, he likely wouldn't be winning those states anyway and it doesn't matter how bad you lose them by.
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Do the math. The Democrats NEED some of those red states. They can't take the attitude " Fuck those rednecks we don't need them. " 2000 and 2004 prove otherwise. If Al Gore could have won his home state of Tennessee he'd would have been president. In fact any red state with more than 3 electoral votes would have won it for Gore. In fact if Gore would have won NH and it's 4 electoral votes he would have won. Kerry did win NH but lost NM and Iowa 2 states Gore won.
Now say Cinton/Obama win all the states Kerry and Gore both won and also, NH, NM, and Iowa that's 264 electoral votes. So where are the 6 more electoral votes coming from if you are going to ignore the "ignorant rednecks"? And remember if it's McCain/Romney ticket NH will most likely go GOP since Kerry BARELY won it in 2004. So that's 10 electoral votes needed." Also McCain being from Arizona also gets NM. So that's now 15 electoral votes need. If the dems are counting on a strategy where they win either Ohio or Florida they are fucked be cause there is ZERO guarantee they'll win either. And there is no plan B. A Edwards/Richardson ticket is a GUARANTEED winner and the dems are too fucking retarded to see this.