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The Iowa caucuses are a test of stamina, because the candidates need to work their asses off to get votes there. TV ads are not enough -- the candidates have to go to every damn town meeting, coffee shop, and quilting bee to get supporters. Those Iowans (and I are one) want to get to know the candidate before supporting them, and fund raising is not enough. I think Huckabee was outspent by Romney by a huge margin but Romney still lost to Huckabee. However, Pat Robertson did well in Iowa in 1988 and George the First ended up with the nomination. We Iowans throw an interesting wrench into the races.
I don't think Iowa has predicted a Democrat nominee since Carter, but it was Iowa where Kerry came from behind and Dean went from the lead to sucking major ass. Obama should get a boost going into New Hampshire and Nevada which he will need to overcome Hillary's leads in other states.
There are still millions of dollars to spend on TV ads and political marketing calls. My parents, still living in Iowa, started screening calls 2 months ago because there were so many calls asking for their support of somebody. I am registered to vote in Arizona and that is one of those later states that does not get much attention. Thankfully.
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ChadKnowsLaw
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