Ambush Interview #82 TheProfessor (Owner/Founder of Adult Friend Finder)

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  • u-Bob
    there's no $$$ in porn
    • Jul 2005
    • 33063

    #151
    woj

    Comment

    • Jman
      Already an AI veteran
      • Sep 2003
      • 22834

      #152
      Hey Andrew, you want to do a link trade ;-)

      Sriously, this is a great interview and I am soo looking forward for upcomign questions. I think this will be the Smartest Ambush Sleazy's done.

      Cheers!!!
      Orkestrait NSFW AI
      FantasyXXX.AI
      Email: [email protected] TG: @jman1216

      Comment

      • Spunky
        I need a beer
        • Jun 2002
        • 133978

        #153
        Interesting interview..good questions and answers

        Comment

        • betsy!
          Registered User
          • Feb 2006
          • 37

          #154
          oh man catching up on this thread almost broke my brain! All that math talk? Damn i'm glad it's only saturday.
          Betsy Good

          Comment

          • Mr. Romance
            The Face of Romance and the Symbol of Freedom
            • Mar 2005
            • 7821

            #155
            Great interview and company....
            Free Leads Program now paying up to $6

            Gerard-Director of Global Sales
            Sign up Here: CamStarCash
            Check out: FreeCamStars
            ICQ: 330 662 299
            gerard at freecamstars . com

            Comment

            • Pornwolf
              Drunk and Unruly
              • Jan 2002
              • 22712

              #156
              Cool interview. Andrew, I hope you don't mind a couple of hardball questions...

              1. Have you seen any effect of Myspace & other free services on A. Your Business & B. the overall sector.

              2. What is the average retention sitewide on AFF and FF.

              3. Which FFI sites retains the longest?

              4. What's the ratio of free members to paid?

              We always hear stuff about Adult Friend Finder FF but we rarely hear about the other "900" sites in the protfolio we are able to promote. Tell us about them.
              I've trusted my sites to them for over a decade...

              Webair, bitches.

              Comment

              • TheProfessor
                Confirmed User
                • Oct 2002
                • 103

                #157
                Originally posted by SleazyDream
                8. I hear you live in a shack, how come you don't buy a mansion or a giant farm or something?
                Yah, most shacks in the bay area cost more than mansions anywhere else.
                Here's a lovely example http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name= or go large with
                http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name=http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name=
                I do have my eyes open for a ranch or farm though - somewhere I can
                motor around in a tractor and dig up stuff.
                CEO, Friend Finder
                The company you can trust for the highest personals payout -
                AdultFriendFinder.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                Cams.com(crazy-high webcam conversions),
                ALT.com(up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                OutPersonals.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                Friend Finder (up to $2/free member,100% cut), Amigos.com, and more!.
                Make money from chinese, indian, filipino,
                and korean traffic (no dialer or CCs needed!)

                Comment

                • Shoehorn!
                  Die With Your Boots On
                  • Oct 2003
                  • 22872

                  #158
                  Originally posted by TheProfessor
                  Yah, most shacks in the bay area cost more than mansions anywhere else.
                  Here's a lovely example http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name= or go large with
                  http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name=http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name=
                  I do have my eyes open for a ranch or farm though - somewhere I can
                  motor around in a tractor and dig up stuff.
                  Damn, thats almost as bad as Hawaii.

                  Comment

                  • V_RocKs
                    Damn Right I Kiss Ass!
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 32451

                    #159
                    Originally posted by SleazyDream
                    i guess you didn't like my questions....
                    Just wanted some solid business related questions...

                    Comment

                    • betsy!
                      Registered User
                      • Feb 2006
                      • 37

                      #160
                      Originally posted by TheProfessor
                      Yah, most shacks in the bay area cost more than mansions anywhere else.
                      Those examples remind me why my husband and I stopped looking... It was way too depressing. Even if you can afford a home, it just seems wrong to pay those prices for such un-impressive houses. When I was younger, that is definetly not what I thought a "million dollar home" would look like!
                      Betsy Good

                      Comment

                      • kristin
                        GOO!
                        • Sep 2002
                        • 9768

                        #161
                        Originally posted by TheProfessor
                        Yah, most shacks in the bay area cost more than mansions anywhere else.
                        Here's a lovely example
                        I do have my eyes open for a ranch or farm though - somewhere I can
                        motor around in a tractor and dig up stuff.
                        Ha, these always make me laugh. My parents live in WNY and live on 23 acres for $92k they purchased and would sell for $129k. Only because of the custom work my dad has put into the house ... but he has his Kabota and everything. : )
                        Last edited by kristin; 02-18-2006, 11:37 AM.
                        Vacares rules.

                        "Usually only fat guys have the kind of knowledge and ability that Kristin has."

                        Comment

                        • V_RocKs
                          Damn Right I Kiss Ass!
                          • Nov 2003
                          • 32451

                          #162
                          Originally posted by TheProfessor
                          Great job!
                          (off to bed now - more posts in a few hours)
                          Now I will have to program somethign in perl to test this....

                          Comment

                          • DatingGold
                            $6 PER EMAIL JOiN
                            • Feb 2003
                            • 13185

                            #163
                            Originally posted by TheProfessor
                            Sure it could... but I programmed it to be fair Try
                            the 4 and 5 window test - it's a bit more dramatic there.
                            Well the only problem i see is i went through the 3 window version about 30 times and never got the car on the first guess. Why would that be? Because that would affect the odds.. or did i just not ever guess right on the first try.
                            9 Years of SOLID payouts and conversions!



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                            Comment

                            • DatingGold
                              $6 PER EMAIL JOiN
                              • Feb 2003
                              • 13185

                              #164
                              Originally posted by Lenny2
                              Hmmmm this is an interesting explanation
                              http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

                              It's very counter-intuitive, but if looked at the right way can be understood.
                              The advantage to switching comes from the fact that the game show host doesn't open a door at random, he ALWAYS opens a non-winning door.
                              That is, if the player picks a door with nothing the game host picks the other door with nothing.
                              And if the player picks the door with a car, the game host randomly picks either of the two doors with nothing

                              This means there are three possible scenarios, each with equal probability (1/3):

                              The player picks empty door number 1. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                              The player picks empty door number 2. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                              The player picks the car. The game host picks either of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.

                              Kind of hard to get your mind around that one, but I'll be damned if it isn't right.

                              i may be an idiot but i think there is a fourth option:

                              The player picks empty door number 1. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                              The player picks empty door number 2. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                              The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.
                              The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.

                              that would make it 50/50

                              its like the are counting the empty door collectively.
                              9 Years of SOLID payouts and conversions!



                              ADULT DATING - $100 PPS

                              LIVE CAMS - $214 PPS

                              WWW.DATINGGOLD.COM

                              ICQ: 27442303

                              Comment

                              • Varius
                                Confirmed User
                                • Jun 2004
                                • 6890

                                #165
                                Originally posted by DatingGold
                                i may be an idiot but i think there is a fourth option:

                                The player picks empty door number 1. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                                The player picks empty door number 2. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                                The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.
                                The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.

                                that would make it 50/50

                                its like the are counting the empty door collectively.
                                I would have to agree here

                                You HAVE to consider all the possibilities, even if two of them seem the same (Player picks the car).

                                Either way, personally I'd always stick with my first guess even if it presents no advantage
                                Skype variuscr - Email varius AT gmail

                                Comment

                                • JenniDahling
                                  Market Penetration Specialist
                                  • Jul 2005
                                  • 5285

                                  #166
                                  Originally posted by TheProfessor
                                  Yah, most shacks in the bay area cost more than mansions anywhere else.
                                  Here's a lovely example http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name= or go large with
                                  http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name=http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name=
                                  I do have my eyes open for a ranch or farm though - somewhere I can
                                  motor around in a tractor and dig up stuff.


                                  I like how the second link's ad says "Classic in Professorville"
                                  Andrew, I have an ant farm I'll give you a good deal on

                                  cLick my kitty, you know you want to
                                  jenni {at} prkitty.com
                                  Meet me at The Island Gathering

                                  Comment

                                  • Xenophage
                                    Registered User
                                    • Oct 2001
                                    • 12122

                                    #167
                                    Originally posted by JenniDahling
                                    I like how the second link's ad says "Classic in Professorville"
                                    Andrew, I have an ant farm I'll give you a good deal on

                                    yeah housing in bay atrea is toally fucked up, but prices are now fallinghte bubble is bursting.


                                    read this

                                    http://patrick.net/housing/crash.html#links

                                    Comment

                                    • TheProfessor
                                      Confirmed User
                                      • Oct 2002
                                      • 103

                                      #168
                                      Originally posted by Pornwolf
                                      Cool interview. Andrew, I hope you don't mind a couple of hardball questions...
                                      Q. Have you seen any effect of Myspace & other free services on A. Your Business & B. the overall sector.

                                      A: Myspace runs a 100% open model where people of all ages can
                                      post most anything. While they have had amazing growth, they have
                                      to rely almost entirely on mainstream advertisers for revenue. Its
                                      similar to TGPs vs paysites - people still pay for paysites because
                                      they don't want to weed through clutter and that service/content/etc
                                      is better. We continue to grow at an incredible rate.

                                      Q: What is the average retention sitewide on AFF and FF.

                                      A: Very high - we have a whole team who's responsible for customer
                                      happiness and retention.

                                      Q: Which FFI sites retains the longest?

                                      A: It really depends on your traffic source. ALT.com has a very long
                                      retention rate because it's a tight niche with many motivated members.
                                      OutPersonals.com is similar for gay men looking to hookup. Retention
                                      is also all about satisfying people - as our sites are so active, members
                                      know that they are getting their money's worth.

                                      We're really excited about the new launch of http://cams.com as it is turning
                                      out to have some of the highest repeat purchase rate measured.
                                      It's definitely a site that gets it revenue out of "life of member"
                                      than all up front.

                                      Q: What's the ratio of free members to paid?

                                      A: It all depends on traffic - some affiliates do 10-20 times better
                                      conversions than others.

                                      Q: We always hear stuff about Adult Friend Finder FF but we rarely hear about the other "900" sites in the protfolio we are able to promote. Tell us about them.

                                      A: Ya, we have about 25 sites for a very wide range of traffic - each
                                      is setup to help affiliates make the most of their traffic source. For example,
                                      many webmasters have lots of chinese, indian, korean, etc traffic that
                                      doesn't convert well. Many of our programs pay for free members to
                                      monetize non-english traffic.

                                      Here's a complete list of sites: https://secure.adultfriendfinder.com...=summary_sites
                                      CEO, Friend Finder
                                      The company you can trust for the highest personals payout -
                                      AdultFriendFinder.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                      Cams.com(crazy-high webcam conversions),
                                      ALT.com(up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                      OutPersonals.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                      Friend Finder (up to $2/free member,100% cut), Amigos.com, and more!.
                                      Make money from chinese, indian, filipino,
                                      and korean traffic (no dialer or CCs needed!)

                                      Comment

                                      • nadanada
                                        Confirmed User
                                        • Apr 2004
                                        • 330

                                        #169
                                        great interview!

                                        didn't jerry yang graduate from stanford as well?
                                        Originally posted by LegendaryLars
                                        yeah housing in bay atrea is toally fucked up, but prices are now fallinghte bubble is bursting.


                                        read this

                                        http://patrick.net/housing/crash.html#links
                                        interesting.

                                        Comment

                                        • JenniDahling
                                          Market Penetration Specialist
                                          • Jul 2005
                                          • 5285

                                          #170
                                          Originally posted by Shoehorn!
                                          Damn, thats almost as bad as Hawaii.

                                          ALMOST... but at least you know when you buy a house on the "mainland," you also get the land it sits on. Not always the case in HI.

                                          cLick my kitty, you know you want to
                                          jenni {at} prkitty.com
                                          Meet me at The Island Gathering

                                          Comment

                                          • TheProfessor
                                            Confirmed User
                                            • Oct 2002
                                            • 103

                                            #171
                                            Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                            9. How did the pocket protector Andrew everyone remembers become such a hip guy overnight? Did you hire someone to help you with style?
                                            Easy, it became hip to be a geek... or at least there is more
                                            of a blur now between them.
                                            CEO, Friend Finder
                                            The company you can trust for the highest personals payout -
                                            AdultFriendFinder.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                            Cams.com(crazy-high webcam conversions),
                                            ALT.com(up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                            OutPersonals.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                            Friend Finder (up to $2/free member,100% cut), Amigos.com, and more!.
                                            Make money from chinese, indian, filipino,
                                            and korean traffic (no dialer or CCs needed!)

                                            Comment

                                            • SleazyDream
                                              I'm here for SPORT
                                              • Jul 2001
                                              • 41470

                                              #172
                                              Originally posted by Mike33
                                              Your questions are great as usual. I just like to compliment them
                                              you repeated several of mine. maybe read what I asked first
                                              This dog, is dog, a dog, good dog, way dog, to dog, keep dog, an dog, idiot dog, busy dog, for dog, 20 dog, seconds dog!

                                              Now read without the word dog.

                                              Comment

                                              • baddog
                                                So Fucking Banned
                                                • Apr 2001
                                                • 107089

                                                #173
                                                Originally posted by DatingGold
                                                Well the only problem i see is i went through the 3 window version about 30 times and never got the car on the first guess. Why would that be? Because that would affect the odds.. or did i just not ever guess right on the first try.

                                                That is by design, you would not know if you picked it right until you were offered a 2nd choice

                                                Comment

                                                • Pornopat
                                                  AdultTubeSubmits.com
                                                  • Dec 2003
                                                  • 10598

                                                  #174
                                                  Originally posted by TheProfessor
                                                  Great job!
                                                  (off to bed now - more posts in a few hours)
                                                  With all respect for everything you have reached to so far but that does not make any mathematical sense. When there are 3 doors there is a 1/3 chance and with 2 doors there is a 1/2 chance.
                                                  Playing this game on that website does not give more insight. The programmer might be biased and use the wrong variables.
                                                  https://stripcash.com/sign-up/?userI...fff832eb95ab6a

                                                  Comment

                                                  • Pornwolf
                                                    Drunk and Unruly
                                                    • Jan 2002
                                                    • 22712

                                                    #175
                                                    Great umm, answers(?) to my questions.

                                                    You can easily be a Bush administration press agent. LOL


                                                    Oh well, I should have expected that after I saw your post about what's behibd the doors.

                                                    Just keep doing what you are doing because you guys are doing it fantastically!
                                                    Last edited by Pornwolf; 02-18-2006, 01:23 PM.
                                                    I've trusted my sites to them for over a decade...

                                                    Webair, bitches.

                                                    Comment

                                                    • TheProfessor
                                                      Confirmed User
                                                      • Oct 2002
                                                      • 103

                                                      #176
                                                      Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                      10. When is it enough? What in life comes after Friend Finder for you?
                                                      The Friend Finder sites fulfill many important human needs. While we have
                                                      grown considerably over the past 10 years, there is much more to do. I have
                                                      grown as well - from being key to the company to being a part of an amazing
                                                      team. As we contine to bring in additional talent, I expect that my role
                                                      will evolve again.
                                                      CEO, Friend Finder
                                                      The company you can trust for the highest personals payout -
                                                      AdultFriendFinder.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                                      Cams.com(crazy-high webcam conversions),
                                                      ALT.com(up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                                      OutPersonals.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                                      Friend Finder (up to $2/free member,100% cut), Amigos.com, and more!.
                                                      Make money from chinese, indian, filipino,
                                                      and korean traffic (no dialer or CCs needed!)

                                                      Comment

                                                      • JenniDahling
                                                        Market Penetration Specialist
                                                        • Jul 2005
                                                        • 5285

                                                        #177
                                                        Okay... here it comes... will Andrew answer #11????? Stay tuned. Same Bat time, same Bat channel.

                                                        cLick my kitty, you know you want to
                                                        jenni {at} prkitty.com
                                                        Meet me at The Island Gathering

                                                        Comment

                                                        • Violetta
                                                          Affiliate
                                                          • Jul 2004
                                                          • 28735

                                                          #178
                                                          great interview! I liked the yahoo story! hehe... isn't that the MOST visited website on the net?
                                                          M&A Queen

                                                          Comment

                                                          • Drake
                                                            Hello world!
                                                            • Mar 2003
                                                            • 12508

                                                            #179
                                                            Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                            you repeated several of mine. maybe read what I asked first
                                                            I read them all and counted only one repeat question, #33

                                                            Comment

                                                            • seeric
                                                              ..........
                                                              • Aug 2004
                                                              • 41917

                                                              #180
                                                              great interview to do. nice guy.

                                                              Comment

                                                              • Drake
                                                                Hello world!
                                                                • Mar 2003
                                                                • 12508

                                                                #181
                                                                One other question: what type of hours do you work? Still 40+ hour weeks, more or less, same hours every day? I know of "newbies" and many successful people in the biz alike that still work tremendous hours (for example, I think Lars works hard, at least it seems so, even though he's already a complete success). In your position, you have the ability to have lots of time off, do you still work 5-7 day weeks?

                                                                Comment

                                                                • Xenophage
                                                                  Registered User
                                                                  • Oct 2001
                                                                  • 12122

                                                                  #182
                                                                  Originally posted by Mike33
                                                                  One other question: what type of hours do you work? Still 40+ hour weeks, more or less, same hours every day? I know of "newbies" and many successful people in the biz alike that still work tremendous hours (for example, I think Lars works hard, at least it seems so, even though he's already a complete success). In your position, you have the ability to have lots of time off, do you still work 5-7 day weeks?
                                                                  Andrew works and has worked more than anyone I have ever met, he even works harder than I do and thats hard to do. For many years he would not even go home he slept in the office so he could keep beating on the code to tweak and make it right. Adult friend Finders success is due in large part to the fanatical ammount of time he has devoted to making the company kick ass. He still works 60-80 hours a week !

                                                                  Comment

                                                                  • Penthouse Tony
                                                                    Confirmed User
                                                                    • Apr 2004
                                                                    • 5835

                                                                    #183
                                                                    Originally posted by Pornopat
                                                                    With all respect for everything you have reached to so far but that does not make any mathematical sense. When there are 3 doors there is a 1/3 chance and with 2 doors there is a 1/2 chance.
                                                                    Playing this game on that website does not give more insight. The programmer might be biased and use the wrong variables.
                                                                    There is a 1/3 chance that you are right on the first guess.

                                                                    If you choose door number 1 and could switch to door number 2 and 3 would you take it?
                                                                    aamos AT FFN dot com
                                                                    Penthouse.com Business Development
                                                                    ICQ: 49090846 | Yahoo IM: ff_aamos

                                                                    Comment

                                                                    • TheProfessor
                                                                      Confirmed User
                                                                      • Oct 2002
                                                                      • 103

                                                                      #184
                                                                      Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                                      11. How many different women do you date at a time?
                                                                      Industry norm... here's a plot...
                                                                      CEO, Friend Finder
                                                                      The company you can trust for the highest personals payout -
                                                                      AdultFriendFinder.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                                                      Cams.com(crazy-high webcam conversions),
                                                                      ALT.com(up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                                                      OutPersonals.com (up to $173/order or $1.00/uni),
                                                                      Friend Finder (up to $2/free member,100% cut), Amigos.com, and more!.
                                                                      Make money from chinese, indian, filipino,
                                                                      and korean traffic (no dialer or CCs needed!)

                                                                      Comment

                                                                      • Pornopat
                                                                        AdultTubeSubmits.com
                                                                        • Dec 2003
                                                                        • 10598

                                                                        #185
                                                                        Originally posted by Sagi_AFF
                                                                        There is a 1/3 chance that you are right on the first guess.

                                                                        If you choose door number 1 and could switch to door number 2 and 3 would you take it?
                                                                        Different game now? No more doors being taken out of the game?
                                                                        Two doors give a 2/3 chance of winning the car so I would switch from one to two doors any day.
                                                                        If one door is eliminated though this brings chances back to 1/2.
                                                                        No need to switch then. I could switch or I could not switch depending on the tone and reputation of the person asking me...example" Are you suuuuuuuure you dont want to switch even though I think you are wrong and wont get anything" yeah..then I would probably switch.
                                                                        This would not be based on mathematics but on psychology though.
                                                                        https://stripcash.com/sign-up/?userI...fff832eb95ab6a

                                                                        Comment

                                                                        • Linguist
                                                                          Confirmed User
                                                                          • Apr 2004
                                                                          • 1706

                                                                          #186
                                                                          Originally posted by MrPheer
                                                                          Yes this is correct. I'm glad that Linquist's name isnt Mathematician
                                                                          I'm actually more of a matematician than a linguist... passion for linguistics comes from too much math ;)

                                                                          As for me paying attention in the math class, go see for yourself. I'm too lazy to type it all out:
                                                                          http://www.cs.utoronto.ca/~sengels/c...ability1up.pdf
                                                                          315-310

                                                                          Comment

                                                                          • RayBonga
                                                                            too cool for highschool
                                                                            • Nov 2005
                                                                            • 12164

                                                                            #187
                                                                            Great ambush so far

                                                                            Comment

                                                                            • Penthouse Tony
                                                                              Confirmed User
                                                                              • Apr 2004
                                                                              • 5835

                                                                              #188
                                                                              Originally posted by Pornopat
                                                                              Different game now? No more doors being taken out of the game?
                                                                              Two doors give a 2/3 chance of winning the car so I would switch from one to two doors any day.
                                                                              If one door is eliminated though this brings chances back to 1/2.
                                                                              No need to switch then. I could switch or I could not switch depending on the tone and reputation of the person asking me...example" Are you suuuuuuuure you dont want to switch even though I think you are wrong and wont get anything" yeah..then I would probably switch.
                                                                              This would not be based on mathematics but on psychology though.
                                                                              It's actually not a different game. You are getting both doors by switching only one is opened now.

                                                                              FACT: If you didn't pick the right door then when you switch it will always be behind the door you switch to.

                                                                              What are the odds that you picked the right door?
                                                                              aamos AT FFN dot com
                                                                              Penthouse.com Business Development
                                                                              ICQ: 49090846 | Yahoo IM: ff_aamos

                                                                              Comment

                                                                              • Holly Lez!
                                                                                She's back
                                                                                • Oct 2003
                                                                                • 3480

                                                                                #189
                                                                                Was nice meeting you Andrew in LA. Wish we had more time to chat maybe next show!
                                                                                [email protected]
                                                                                Skype: hollyruprecht

                                                                                Comment

                                                                                • Pornopat
                                                                                  AdultTubeSubmits.com
                                                                                  • Dec 2003
                                                                                  • 10598

                                                                                  #190
                                                                                  Originally posted by Sagi_AFF
                                                                                  It's actually not a different game. You are getting both doors by switching only one is opened now.

                                                                                  FACT: If you didn't pick the right door then when you switch it will always be behind the door you switch to.

                                                                                  What are the odds that you picked the right door?
                                                                                  I looked it up at wikipedia and I think I get it now on the hand of this example:

                                                                                  Card game experiment
                                                                                  Consider the problem as a card game where the goal is to end up with the ace of spades. Doing this may make the answer easier to understand and provides a way anyone can run a simple experiment. Take three cards including the ace of spades. Shuffle them and deal one to the "player" while you (the "host") keep two. Looking at the two, discard one so long as it is not the ace of spades. Should the player switch? To amplify the effect, do this again using the entire deck. Deal one card to the player while you keep 51 and (looking at the 51) discard 50 so long as none of them is the ace of spades. By switching, the player will nearly always win (51 out of 52 times).

                                                                                  For a more thorough walkthrough of this experiment, consider two players. Player A and Player B take the 13 diamond cards out of a standard deck of cards. The cards are shuffled, and then Player A receives one card face-down and is not permitted to see the card's face. Player B receives the other 12 cards, and he may look at them. Both players are trying to wind up with the ace of diamonds in their hand.

                                                                                  Question: Player A received one card. Player B received twelve cards. What are the chances that the ace is currently in Player B's hand? Answer: Twelve out of thirteen.
                                                                                  Player B has twelve cards and can examine the card faces. At least eleven of them are not the ace. Player B takes out eleven non-ace cards from his hand and lays them down face-up.

                                                                                  Question: Player B did not discard the ace (which he may not even have). No cards have moved from one hand to the other. Therefore, if the ace was in Player B's hand at the beginning, it is still there now. What are the chances that the ace is currently in Player B's hand? Answer: Since the chances depend only on whether or not he originally received the ace, the chances are still twelve out of thirteen.
                                                                                  Player A now has an option: he can stay with the one card he was originally dealt (which he hasn't looked at), or he can switch his hand with Player B's hand, which was originally dealt twelve of the thirteen cards.

                                                                                  Question: If the ace is currently in Player B's hand, Player A will win by switching hands. What are the chances that Player A will win by switching hands? Answer: Since the chances depend only on whether or not Player B originally got the ace, the chances are twelve out of thirteen.


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                                                                                  • Snake Doctor
                                                                                    I'm Lenny2 Bitch
                                                                                    • Mar 2001
                                                                                    • 13449

                                                                                    #191
                                                                                    Originally posted by DatingGold
                                                                                    i may be an idiot but i think there is a fourth option:

                                                                                    The player picks empty door number 1. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                                                                                    The player picks empty door number 2. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car.
                                                                                    The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.
                                                                                    The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose.

                                                                                    that would make it 50/50

                                                                                    its like the are counting the empty door collectively.
                                                                                    They are counting the empty doors collectively when you pick the door with the car, because the host will only open one door.
                                                                                    The problem with your logic here is that you're counting the player picking the car twice....which is an error because he will only pick the car on the first try one time out of three, not two times out of four.

                                                                                    Basically it's like this....switching only wins if you picked incorrectly the first time. You will pick incorrectly 2/3 of the time, so switching means you will win 2/3 of the time.

                                                                                    If you read my earlier posts you'll see that I wasn't sold on this either, statistics or not, until I came across a logical explanation for why it's true.
                                                                                    sig too big

                                                                                    Comment

                                                                                    • TheProfessor
                                                                                      Confirmed User
                                                                                      • Oct 2002
                                                                                      • 103

                                                                                      #192
                                                                                      Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                                                      2. How often do you talk to Miss Cleo.
                                                                                      Couple times a day but she doesn't talk back. Cleo is my dog who
                                                                                      loves to hang out in the affiliate department.
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                                                                                      • 2HousePlague
                                                                                        CURATOR
                                                                                        • Jul 2004
                                                                                        • 14572

                                                                                        #193
                                                                                        I miss Cleo almost as much you, Andrew.
                                                                                        tada!

                                                                                        Comment

                                                                                        • TheProfessor
                                                                                          Confirmed User
                                                                                          • Oct 2002
                                                                                          • 103

                                                                                          #194
                                                                                          Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                                                          13. Jack, friend or foe?
                                                                                          Jack? Naw, I prefer gin and tonic.
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                                                                                          • TheProfessor
                                                                                            Confirmed User
                                                                                            • Oct 2002
                                                                                            • 103

                                                                                            #195
                                                                                            Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                                                            14. What's with the obsession on koko the gorilla?
                                                                                            Turns out that a woman a few miles from our office taught a gorilla
                                                                                            how to communcation using sign language. Koko has do over 1000 signs,
                                                                                            understands 2000 spoken words and has an IQ of around 80. I just think
                                                                                            it's cool (http://koko.org).

                                                                                            If we could just teach gorillas to use credit cards, I'm sure we'd create a site
                                                                                            for them.... monkeymoney... bananabucks...
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                                                                                            Comment

                                                                                            • Semi-Retired-Dave
                                                                                              Too lazy to set a custom title
                                                                                              • Apr 2004
                                                                                              • 11190

                                                                                              #196
                                                                                              You are definetly one of the guys I have looked up too. Great Interview, and great read.
                                                                                              Support a Good Cause

                                                                                              Comment

                                                                                              • SleazyDream
                                                                                                I'm here for SPORT
                                                                                                • Jul 2001
                                                                                                • 41470

                                                                                                #197
                                                                                                amazing read so far!
                                                                                                This dog, is dog, a dog, good dog, way dog, to dog, keep dog, an dog, idiot dog, busy dog, for dog, 20 dog, seconds dog!

                                                                                                Now read without the word dog.

                                                                                                Comment

                                                                                                • TheProfessor
                                                                                                  Confirmed User
                                                                                                  • Oct 2002
                                                                                                  • 103

                                                                                                  #198
                                                                                                  Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                                                                  15. Why do you bring your own silverware to resturants?
                                                                                                  Oh, that's a rumor... well ok, there's a little truth to it.
                                                                                                  I'm addicted to this little restaurant a block from the office that
                                                                                                  makes amazing breakfast food all day -- but they had the cheapest
                                                                                                  high school cafeteria silverware. So one night, we anonymously
                                                                                                  dropped off a crate of silverware for the whole place. Maybe I'm
                                                                                                  too much of a micromanager but it's much better eating breakfast
                                                                                                  with nice silverware.
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                                                                                                  Comment

                                                                                                  • mikeyddddd
                                                                                                    Viva la vulva!
                                                                                                    • Mar 2003
                                                                                                    • 16557

                                                                                                    #199
                                                                                                    Originally posted by SleazyDream
                                                                                                    i guess you didn't like my questions....
                                                                                                    You asked good questions. Don't get your panties in a wad. Are you that insecure even after pulling off a fantastic ambush?

                                                                                                    Originally posted by Mike33
                                                                                                    Your questions are great as usual. I just like to compliment them
                                                                                                    "Your questions are great as usual" IS a compliment. You were complementing the questions.

                                                                                                    TheProfessor's anwsers to all the questions have been excellent.

                                                                                                    to you all.

                                                                                                    Comment

                                                                                                    • ilsoph
                                                                                                      Confirmed User
                                                                                                      • Aug 2002
                                                                                                      • 225

                                                                                                      #200
                                                                                                      Originally posted by TheProfessor
                                                                                                      Yah, this is one of our interview questions.
                                                                                                      i'm sure glad you didn't conduct these white-board-microsoft type interviews with me then.. i would've failed miserably..

                                                                                                      it was nice meeting you in vegas at the moviepost dinner andrew..

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