The "Re-Bill option is better for the longterm LIE"!

I've been thinking about rebilling vs PPS.

Usually I deal in the webcam industry so it's more a revshare vs PPS and overall a revshare option (with a site with good girls) comes out the winner.

But now I'm doing some adult sites through CCBill and its rebill or PPS. Let's look at the numbers:

For this one site, this month I've done 20 signups - the site owner says that customers are rebilling at 45% but Im seeing after 1 month a rebill percentage of 75%.

So is this how I'd calculate it:

Month 1 -
New Signups: 20
Rebill Customers: 0
Total Payouts: 20 ($10 x 20 = $200)


Month 2 -
New Signups: 20
Rebill Customers (working on 75% and rounding down): 15
Total Payouts: 35 ($10 x 35 = $350)


Month 3 -
New Signups: 20
Rebill Customers: 26
Total Payouts: 46 ($10 x 35 = $460)

Ok. Now let's pretend we STOP getting new signups and we let it rebill at the 75% rebill rate.

Month 4:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 34
Total Payouts ($10 x 34 = $340)

Month 5:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 25
Total Payouts ($10 x 25 = $250)

Month 6:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 18
Total Payouts ($10 x 18 = $180)

Month 7:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 13
Total Payouts ($10 x 13 = $130)

Month 8:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 9
Total Payouts ($10 x 9 = $90)

Month 9:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 6
Total Payouts ($10 x 6 = $60)

Month 10:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 3
Total Payouts ($10 x 3 = $30)

Month 11:
New Signups: 0
Rebill Customers: 1
Total Payouts ($10 x 1 = $10)

Total: $1090 over 11 months for a total of 60 customers.

If you'd taken the PSS option you'd of got $1800 ($30 x 60) over just 3 months.

I know that some customers stay much longer, I hear of people who have rebillers for years until their CC expires which is great. But do you need to rely in that rare breed to bring in the money to make up what you loose of the PSS?


Is my maths wrong (I hope so!)?? Is rebill as a good option all an industry lie?