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John Kerry, whom I see as a very weak presidential candidate, only lost by 2% to George Bush, whom I see as a very strong presidential candidate. Bush has a very strong base, all the way from pre-2000... Kerry came and lost only by 2% after being completely unknown and attacked from every side.
This is a clean slate election, people know who Hillary is, most won't know the Republican candidate, so if he doesn't have a good base like Bush does, he is toast. Time will tell.
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