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I think the best thing in the minutes that I have listened to brought up by most of the board members of ICANN, was the amount of opposition received by the same community that Mr. English was toughting as wanting this TLD. I think this opposition will sway this idea away every single time.
Now other opinion:
Were there large interest from programs that are in the top tier to have this approved? Ask yourself that.
I think there was. And we will never know who it is.
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