Quote:
Originally Posted by bobosoft
I think no crazies is actually good for them. A lot of people are on the edge between democrat and reblublican (including myself because they both suck bad). Unless they just decide to sit it out, the religious crazies and pro-lifers are still going to vote republican if given the choice between a moderate and a democrat. I think the two Republican front runners are purposely being ambiguous about abortion for that reason. On the other hand they could pull a lot of democrat potential voters who don't want higher taxes or healthcare reform. Especially If Hillary wins the nomination, I think it could be a huge help to have a moderate republican.
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It really does have a lot to do with who the democrat ends up being. There are a lot of hard christian right wingers that despise hilary and will just vote against her. That said, if it ends up being Obama or someone like that he might not motivate them to vote against him. The republicans can't just count on their votes either. They won't vote democrat, they just won't vote. We just saw this happen last November. The far right feels like they have been used. Bush promised them a lot of things and he has failed to deliver on almost all of those promises. Not to mention some of the people they helped put in power now have turned out to be gay/crooks/freaks. There was a great piece done about the christian right and how they basically turned their backs on the republicans this last November.
Guiliani has problems they will not like. He is pro-choice being the big one. He has said that he is personally pro life, but that he doesn't think abortion should be illegal. He also is for gun control and he cheated on his wife. McCain has slammed the christian right as zealots before so they won't get behind him and a moderate republican will have a hard time convincing them that he will do what they want.
Bush won over the christian right then lost them, it will be a pretty big challenge for the next candidate to bring them back. Hilary winning the nomination is probably the biggest step forward towards getting the christian right back that the republicans can hope for.