GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - Here's a braintease I made up (Math Question)

RawAlex · 01-13-2007, 03:07 PM

Nick, sorry, but you need to go back and take a basic stats course to understand what you are getting into. 20% doesn't mean that every fifth ball goes in, but that over a sample range 20% of the balls went in. This is no way to accurately predict the percentage of sequential goals with the data you present.

Now, assumimg that the current shot was a goal, the chance that the next shot is also a goal is 20% - because the odds of the shot going in don't change because of the previous goal. So you are at 20%. Now, there is a 20% chance that the one after it is a goal as well, so the number straight lined is about 16%... but that is a very straight line interpretation of the math.

So, sorry, you won't make it as a math or stats major.

01-13-2007, 03:07 PM
RawAlex So Fucking Banned Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: In a house. Posts: 9,465	Nick, sorry, but you need to go back and take a basic stats course to understand what you are getting into. 20% doesn't mean that every fifth ball goes in, but that over a sample range 20% of the balls went in. This is no way to accurately predict the percentage of sequential goals with the data you present. Now, assumimg that the current shot was a goal, the chance that the next shot is also a goal is 20% - because the odds of the shot going in don't change because of the previous goal. So you are at 20%. Now, there is a 20% chance that the one after it is a goal as well, so the number straight lined is about 16%... but that is a very straight line interpretation of the math. So, sorry, you won't make it as a math or stats major.