Champions league bets today

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  • Lee
    Confirmed User
    • Aug 2002
    • 2977

    #1

    Champions league bets today

    Its a lot tougher than yesterday to find value thats easy to call. The only ones I fancy are ridiculously short priced like Inter, Bremen and Valencia

    But if I had to pick tougher ones I would probably go for Roma and Bayern who both have tricky away trips, and maybe Bordeaux as Liverpool have a few players out.
  • Phil
    Confirmed User
    • Jan 2004
    • 7659

    #2
    I should have bet on CSKA Moscow last night.. Just had that feeling !
    Ask Phil

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    • viking1
      Confirmed User
      • Jun 2005
      • 493

      #3
      Originally posted by Lee
      Its a lot tougher than yesterday to find value thats easy to call. The only ones I fancy are ridiculously short priced like Inter, Bremen and Valencia

      But if I had to pick tougher ones I would probably go for Roma and Bayern who both have tricky away trips, and maybe Bordeaux as Liverpool have a few players out.
      Bayern is a winner in my pick , they are a cup team, never count out Lpool , liked what i saw on Saturday , bad in fron of the goal ,but they almost never play bad in CPL , i dont think Bordeaux gonna beth them , an draw or Lpool takes it home ,probaly an draw .... but not easy tonighht

      Comment

      • Ross
        Ik ben een aap
        • Sep 2002
        • 18874

        #4
        Everyones forgetting about the big one. Chelsea and Barcelona. How is this one gonna go? I think Barcelona will win, they seem to have that edge over Chelsea.

        Comment

        • Phil
          Confirmed User
          • Jan 2004
          • 7659

          #5
          Im going to pick a total shocker. Inter is going to lose one nill to Spartak, Moscow.
          Ask Phil

          Comment

          • Phil
            Confirmed User
            • Jan 2004
            • 7659

            #6
            Originally posted by Ross
            Everyones forgetting about the big one. Chelsea and Barcelona. How is this one gonna go? I think Barcelona will win, they seem to have that edge over Chelsea.
            Barca all the way!
            Ask Phil

            Comment

            • Lee
              Confirmed User
              • Aug 2002
              • 2977

              #7
              Originally posted by Ross
              Everyones forgetting about the big one. Chelsea and Barcelona. How is this one gonna go? I think Barcelona will win, they seem to have that edge over Chelsea.
              From a betting perspective I dont want that one in my mix, however I would say that the home team tends to have the edge.

              Comment

              • Jensen
                Confirmed User
                • Apr 2001
                • 3790

                #8
                From my own site, www.prematches.com

                Bordeaux - Liverpool
                ? Homewin: 7% (value odds 13.50)
                ? Awaywin: 32% (value odds 3.16)
                ? Draw: 61% (value odds 1.64)

                Chelsea - Barcelona
                ? Homewin: 32% (value odds 3.08)
                ? Awaywin: 41% (value odds 2.43)
                ? Draw: 26% (value odds 3.78)

                Galatasaray - PSV Eindhoven
                ? Homewin: 25% (value odds 4.00)
                ? Awaywin: 47% (value odds 2.12)
                ? Draw: 28% (value odds 3.60)

                Inter Milano - Spartak Moskva
                ? Homewin: 78% (value odds 1.29)
                ? Awaywin: 0% (value odds 0.00)
                ? Draw: 22% (value odds 4.47)

                Olympiakos - Roma
                ? Homewin: 48% (value odds 2.08)
                ? Awaywin: 36% (value odds 2.78)
                ? Draw: 16% (value odds 6.25)

                Sporting Lisboa - Bayern München
                ? Homewin: 32% (value odds 3.17)
                ? Awaywin: 53% (value odds 1.90)
                ? Draw: 16% (value odds 6.33)

                Valencia - Shakhtar Donetsk
                ? Homewin: 82% (value odds 1.21)
                ? Awaywin: 12% (value odds 8.50)
                ? Draw: 6% (value odds 17.00)

                Werder Bremen - Levski Sofia
                ? Homewin: 90% (value odds 1.11)
                ? Awaywin: 0% (value odds 0.00)
                ? Draw: 10% (value odds 10.00)

                Comment

                • Phil
                  Confirmed User
                  • Jan 2004
                  • 7659

                  #9
                  Please explain this to non-gambler???


                  Inter Milano - Spartak Moskva
                  › Homewin: 78% (value odds 1.29)
                  › Awaywin: 0% (value odds 0.00) < ------ WTF
                  › Draw: 22% (value odds 4.47)
                  Ask Phil

                  Comment

                  • Jensen
                    Confirmed User
                    • Apr 2001
                    • 3790

                    #10
                    Originally posted by CAMOKAT
                    Please explain this to non-gambler???


                    Inter Milano - Spartak Moskva
                    ? Homewin: 78% (value odds 1.29)
                    ? Awaywin: 0% (value odds 0.00) < ------ WTF
                    ? Draw: 22% (value odds 4.47)
                    it my own simulator found at www.prematches.com .. it uses trends, stats, ratings, systems and history to come up with the numbers..

                    couple of trends from this match:

                    ? Inter Milano playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 8/ 12] [66.67%]
                    ? Spartak Moskva playing in October the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%]

                    I've never see 0% for a team and the simulator gets more accurate the more games in the leagues. On the other hand Spartak has lost all games they've ever played away in the champions league and the score overall was 2-23 (no kidding).

                    Let me know if you want all the data from this game and I'll paste it..

                    Comment

                    • v4 media
                      Confirmed User
                      • Feb 2005
                      • 2934

                      #11
                      Liverpool do well in Europe if Crouch is playing, big lanky bastard that he is.

                      Chelsea haven't had one blinding game all season, they are due...

                      Comment

                      • baX
                        Too lazy to set a custom title
                        • Mar 2006
                        • 17911

                        #12
                        Hope I'm not to late. Here are my tips for this evening
                        Chelsea - Barcelona X
                        Sporting Lisboa - Bayern München 2
                        Werder Bremen - Levski Sofia 1

                        Comment

                        • Klen
                          • Aug 2006
                          • 32235

                          #13
                          Chelsea-Barcelona 1

                          Comment

                          • Lee
                            Confirmed User
                            • Aug 2002
                            • 2977

                            #14
                            Well, not too bad. My main bet was very easy to pick and the stake of &#163;120 is only going to get a return of about &#163;200.

                            Roma and Bayern came in on the other bet however I picked Bordeaux who have cost me a big win. I will still get my money back from the other 2 though

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