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As long as there are so many cowboys on these boards the industry can't be called mature. Perhaps it's in it's "kindergarten" stage.
Toy industry, fashion industry, computer hardware, clothing, food, gaming consoles.... just to name a few all reached to point of being a stable mature industry. Online porn certainly isn't because if it was, not a single newbie would make a sale from his new tgp in his first month.
Those few programs you mention above shouldn't be taken as a standard, those aren't large companies. The largest company I know of is AFF with 300 employees.
Also think about the fact what big companies are doing right now online, think about what playboy is currently doing. This is an indicator that online porn certainly hasn't reached a mature stage. 10 years from now things will be different, some companies will have their market share and newbies without decent capital won't be able to break into the market.
Also keep in mind that this industry has many many niches so you can be very creative in your online ventures, also take note that you do business on the internet which is a very fast changing medium.
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