Warren Buffet speaks on "The Real Estate Bubble"

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  • Cory W
    Deeply shallow
    • Jan 2004
    • 9133

    #1

    Warren Buffet speaks on "The Real Estate Bubble"

    Buffett: "A lot of the psychological well-being of the American public comes from how well they've done with their housew over the years. If indeed there's been a bubble, and it's pricked at some point, the net effect on Berkshire might well be positive [because the company's financial strength would allow it to buy real-estate-related businesses at bargain prices]....

    "Certainly at the high end of the real estate market in some areas, you've seen extraordinary movement.... People go crazy in economics periodically, in all kinds of ways. Residential housing has different behavioral characteristics, simply because people live there. But when you get prices increasing faster than than the underlying costs, sometimes there can be pretty serious consequences."

    Munger: "You have a real asset-price bubble in places like parts of California and the suburbs of Washington, DC. "

    Buffett: "I recently sold a house in Laguna for $3.5 million. It was on about 2000 sq. ft of land, maybe a twentieth of an acre, and the house might cost about $500,000 if you wanted to replace it. So the land sold for something like $60 million an acre."

    Munger: "I know someone who lives next door to what you would actually call a fairly modest house that just sold for $17 million. There are some very extreme housing price bubbles going on."
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  • Illicit
    wtf ?
    • Dec 2003
    • 11895

    #2
    to buy or not to buy, that is the question
    Insert Sig Here

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    • $5 submissions
      I help you SUCCEED
      • Nov 2003
      • 32189

      #3
      The question is WHEN? There's been talk of a bubble for a while now...

      Comment

      • NaughtyRob
        Two fresh affiliate progs
        • Nov 2004
        • 29602

        #4
        I think the bubble in Vegas is about to burst.
        [email protected]
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        • nofx
          Too lazy to set a custom title
          • Nov 2002
          • 16826

          #5
          there was something on tv about this last night

          it was pretty interesting if real estate is your cup of tea.

          Often times I wonder why
          There's love and hate, theres live or die.
          When sickness comes I must decide:
          When feelings go, theres suicide.

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          • Dildozer
            Confirmed User
            • Jul 2002
            • 7519

            #6
            There's been talk of a bubble for quite some time now. But the bubble isn't everywhere, it's very micro and depends on areas. Wether it's gonna be a bubble burst or slow deflation will change a lot as well. Personally I think it'll be a slow deflation, not an all out burst.
            Spam link here

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            • Head
              Confirmed User
              • Nov 2003
              • 8278

              #7
              Being a real estate investor i feel it's in it's 'Mature' stage but in lots of places through out North America property value will continue to increase. :2 cents

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              • Tytan
                Too lazy to set a custom title
                • Sep 2003
                • 1391

                #8
                uk market is booming still
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                • $5 submissions
                  I help you SUCCEED
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 32189

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Dildozer
                  There's been talk of a bubble for quite some time now. But the bubble isn't everywhere, it's very micro and depends on areas. Wether it's gonna be a bubble burst or slow deflation will change a lot as well. Personally I think it'll be a slow deflation, not an all out burst.
                  True. It depends on the region. For example, the most recent bust in LA in the early 90s started out as a slow deflation then accelerated as housing inventories piled up unsold and prices kept getting slashed.

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                  • eroswebmaster
                    March 1st, 2003
                    • Jul 2001
                    • 20295

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ContentProducer
                    I think the bubble in Vegas is about to burst.
                    I would hope so.
                    I saw a listing for a house that looked almost like a duplicate of mine going for $185,000.
                    Back in Texas I could probably pick it up for 1/4 that if you consider the same neighborhood etc.

                    Yes I live in the ghetto.
                    For rent - ICQ 127-027-910
                    Click here for more details

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                    • V_RocKs
                      Damn Right I Kiss Ass!
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 32467

                      #11
                      Burst already! I want a nice house!

                      Comment

                      • GTS Mark
                        Vrume Mark
                        • Jan 2001
                        • 20912

                        #12
                        There are lots of good deals out there, you just have to look harder these days

                        DH

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                        • Snake Doctor
                          I'm Lenny2 Bitch
                          • Mar 2001
                          • 13449

                          #13
                          You have a link? I'd like to read the whole interview.
                          sig too big

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                          • mockingbich
                            Confirmed User
                            • Feb 2004
                            • 274

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ContentProducer
                            I think the bubble in Vegas is about to burst.

                            Yeah, that's what I thought that too...

                            But last month 3 houses sold in my neighborhood in Scummerlin. Each one was over a million... and this is just the beginning of the summer selling season

                            Don't bail out on Vegas yet

                            Comment

                            • clickhappy
                              Confirmed User
                              • Mar 2004
                              • 4027

                              #15
                              I saw this at the book store today. It says prices will ll climb until the end of the decade
                              http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/AS...716459-1004648

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                              • BRISK
                                Too lazy to set a custom title
                                • Feb 2003
                                • 12240

                                #16
                                Interest rates going up again tomorrow
                                I post on GFY so that when people ask me what I do,
                                I can tell them that I work with the mentally retarded.

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                                • BRISK
                                  Too lazy to set a custom title
                                  • Feb 2003
                                  • 12240

                                  #17
                                  Munger: "If you jump out the window at the 42nd floor and you're still doing fine as you pass the 27th floor, that doesn't mean you don't have a serious problem."
                                  You gotta love their quotes
                                  I post on GFY so that when people ask me what I do,
                                  I can tell them that I work with the mentally retarded.

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                                  • Cory W
                                    Deeply shallow
                                    • Jan 2004
                                    • 9133

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Lenny2
                                    You have a link? I'd like to read the whole interview.
                                    Here you go man...

                                    http://money.cnn.com/2005/05/01/news...ex.htm?cnn=yes
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                                    • jonesy
                                      Confirmed User
                                      • Jan 2003
                                      • 6688

                                      #19
                                      Not a single individual shareholder asked about whether Berkshire might be implicated in the widening scandal about alleged earnings manipulations at American International Group
                                      .
                                      Shooting Bikini Girls

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                                      • Peaches
                                        Old broad
                                        • Oct 2002
                                        • 13933

                                        #20
                                        I'm going to sit back and wait for the interest rates to go up and all the idiots who bought with nothing down and ARMs selling their houses for what they owe or getting foreclosed on. Then rent those out to the idiots who bought with nothing down and ARMs who sold their houses and can't afford to buy another one ;)

                                        Comment

                                        • colpanic
                                          Confirmed User
                                          • May 2004
                                          • 1007

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Peaches
                                          I'm going to sit back and wait for the interest rates to go up and all the idiots who bought with nothing down and ARMs selling their houses for what they owe or getting foreclosed on. Then rent those out to the idiots who bought with nothing down and ARMs who sold their houses and can't afford to buy another one ;)

                                          The problem with this theory is that you then have a mortgage with a shitty interest rate, which makes it way more expensive in the long run. Unless of course you buy it cash
                                          I like ducks.

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                                          • jonesy
                                            Confirmed User
                                            • Jan 2003
                                            • 6688

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Peaches
                                            I'm going to sit back and wait for the interest rates to go up and all the idiots who bought with nothing down and ARMs selling their houses for what they owe or getting foreclosed on. Then rent those out to the idiots who bought with nothing down and ARMs who sold their houses and can't afford to buy another one ;)
                                            yup its going to happen -

                                            also the cost of living is rising and peoples paychecks are staying the same and not matching the rise
                                            .
                                            Shooting Bikini Girls

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                                            • uno
                                              RIP Dodger. BEST.CAT.EVER
                                              • Dec 2002
                                              • 18450

                                              #23
                                              I hope it drops around nyc and nj. I know a few props i'd love to buy.
                                              -uno
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