Hmmm.... maybe production will shift overseas for simulated /CGenerated porn. Lower labor costs. Just a thought.
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Originally posted by bhutocracy
good 3d animators cost about as much as models per hour.. it's not going to happen in a big way for many many years.. seriously.. 2 x 3d animators, 1 x texture artist, actors if you want direct kinetic input + a frikkin' buttload of time
vs a guy and a camera + actors. + a little editing time
maybe in about 10 years programs will be sophisticated enough to allow only one or two people to work on it and have most of the kinematics pre-programmed and machines fast enough to render it.. but it will still probably be cheaper to film it. 3d porn is currently and will remain for a while, the realm of under-employed/after-the-day-job 3d artists where budgets don't matter and time is the only and freely available resource.
there will initially be novelty value and the first few might make some cash through some slave-labour 3d-artists-get-a-percentage-of-the-revenue deal but it won't last in a professional wages-up-front sense until it's cheaper than real porno..
You only have to look at current pornos to see the budget they run on.. did anyone see that porn version of the matrix? the computer special effects were as poor as hell (read take a day to do).. and this is on a professional shoot..
I don't think it will ever get to the point where theres "no going back" shooting a porno will always be cheaper because it's not relying on niched technical wages.. (and even if it did manage to take a hefty market share it would drive down human model's wages through lack of scarcity making "real" porno cheaper still) plus it won't capture the huge amateur market.
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