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One way or another it's going through, whether it's next week, next month or next year.
The "Difference" being will it be mandatory or not.
Just by creating .xxx, for the adult online community, it essentially IS mandatory (ie-brand protection), and those trying to push it through already know that, or they'd have given up a LONG time ago.
It's a money grab. Nothing more, nothing less.
The really scary part is once those domains are in full swing, what further restrictions, costs and taxes the government will decide to implement. That doesn't even mention individual isp's having the right to block the entire TLD.
If it starts out not being mandatory I imagine you'll see a lot of people redirect the .xxx domains they purchase to their .coms. When the government sees that happening and them losing the tax revenues they'll surely impose, it'll become mandatory shortly thereafter.
What we're seeing now, is only the first of many steps to come.
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