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kane · 03-15-2006, 05:08 PM

Also lets not forget that the election is what it really seems. You have to take a few things into consideration. About 20% of the country is on the far christian right and about 20% are on the far hardcore left and the rest fall somewhere in the middle. the main difference is that the far right is organized and they vote. Where the left often does not. Kerry is a great example of this. He boasted about how they registers a record number of new voters during the last campaign expecting them to do as they did Clinton and vote for him. They didn't vote against him, they just didn't vote. Only about 50% of the people eligible to vote actually do so.

Example: If you have 100,000 people that are eligible to vote around 20K of them are on the far right 20K on the far left and the remaining 60K are in the middle. So only 50K of these people will vote so the candidate only needs to get 25,001 votes to win. You have to assume that around 80-85% of the far right will vote so that puts 16K in the republican pocket where the left will only end up with 10K right out of the gates. So the repubs always have less ground to make up. There is a reason that the republicans (at least in the last couple of elections) hope for low voter turnout. the fewer voters the better their odds because they know their base will turn out.

If anything a ban on abortion would give the base of the party a shot in the arm and fire it up again. they are getting what they want, a conservative court, a ban on abortion, money given to faith based charities instead of netrual charities, why would the waver from this?

What I'm getting at is that to say the country elected bush twice is not 100% accurate. the conservative right elected bush and the rest of the country didn't care enough to stop it.

03-15-2006, 05:08 PM
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	Also lets not forget that the election is what it really seems. You have to take a few things into consideration. About 20% of the country is on the far christian right and about 20% are on the far hardcore left and the rest fall somewhere in the middle. the main difference is that the far right is organized and they vote. Where the left often does not. Kerry is a great example of this. He boasted about how they registers a record number of new voters during the last campaign expecting them to do as they did Clinton and vote for him. They didn't vote against him, they just didn't vote. Only about 50% of the people eligible to vote actually do so. Example: If you have 100,000 people that are eligible to vote around 20K of them are on the far right 20K on the far left and the remaining 60K are in the middle. So only 50K of these people will vote so the candidate only needs to get 25,001 votes to win. You have to assume that around 80-85% of the far right will vote so that puts 16K in the republican pocket where the left will only end up with 10K right out of the gates. So the repubs always have less ground to make up. There is a reason that the republicans (at least in the last couple of elections) hope for low voter turnout. the fewer voters the better their odds because they know their base will turn out. If anything a ban on abortion would give the base of the party a shot in the arm and fire it up again. they are getting what they want, a conservative court, a ban on abortion, money given to faith based charities instead of netrual charities, why would the waver from this? What I'm getting at is that to say the country elected bush twice is not 100% accurate. the conservative right elected bush and the rest of the country didn't care enough to stop it.