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- far more government regulations?
No, I think less. The government has already fought the battle with the porn industry with Playboy, Hustler, and Penthouse - and lost. These days they are just going through the motions. Morals and values have changed, thanks in part to the Interenet, and people are no longer shocked by what they see on line. Combined with the fact that the Internet is world wide and cannot be controled by one country, I think there will be less regulations in the future.
- recurring billing gone?
Hell no. Recurring billing is the way to go. However, in the future the general public will wise up to it and you'll see the bulk of people signing up and then canceling a few moments later.
- new billing options?
I'm gussing there will be many more bililng options as the world wide market condenses. I hope that CCBill, Paycom, Netbililng, and the idiots at IBILL figure it all out.
- everyone using Video on Demand?
Video will be the wave of the future. Pix will be worthless, photographers will be out of work, and we'll all be watching porno delivered to our tv from the Internet. Mobile devices will be HUGE also.
- porn on a seperate .xxx domain ? ( it's still not 100% rejected AFAIK )
No, I don't think we'll see the .xxx domains take off. Instead, a new TLD will be set up that will be porn free.
- average conversions 1:5000 ?
Conversions will start to suck in the next ten years, making it a waste of time for most smaller affiliates. Currently there is no entry barrier into this industry, but that will change. It will take more work, more money up front, and won't be nearly worth the effort.
- everyone using P2P to get porn?
P2P will disappear because it will be deemed illegal.
- GFY still being no 1 board, and still filled with surfers, trolls and sig-whores?
GFY will remain the number board because it's the 800lbs gorilla backed by a huge company with deep pockets. It will take a lot of effort to dethrone it.
Good thread & good questions really.
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