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Originally Posted by Nylz
Ah, finally another person who has a clue about the tour!
Kloden needs to improve, he was very weak this year.. Mancebo isn't capable to make a difference in the mountains and the time trial, Rasmussen isn't good enough in the real mountain stages, and his time trials are not that good..
I agree about Basso, Vino, Valverde, Popovitsj, Landis and Karpets!
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Yup - those 6 will be competitors....
I´m afraid we cant rule out Ullrich though - however much i´d like to, I resent his defensive style - but next year he looks like the stronger one for the time trials, and he was actually overall in the top 3-4 in the mountains.
Basso has improved his timetrials ALOT, and it may very well be sufficient, given that he´s stronger than Ullrich - and all others this year apart from Armstrong in the mountains.
Klöden was strangely weak this year, but if he´s back in the shape he was in last year - then he might be a challenger....Same goes for a couple of others like Heras, Beloki etc...doubt they´ll be back with a blast though.
I agree on Mancebo, he doesnt look like a winner, but if Illes Balears has him and Valverde next year as well, they´ll have some good room for tactical maneuvres to bring the stronger one of the 2 on podium. My bet is that´ll be Valverde, but Mancebo does quite well on time trials, and it takes a bit to break him in the mountains - he´s not entirely out of the game.
Rasmussen, had to mention my favourite. I think he´ll focus on the spotted jersey and do his wild rides in the mountains...but he aint gonna make the podium.
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