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Originally Posted by Code_Havoc
Not just that, but consider the landing at Normandy in World War 2. A Chinese invasion of Taiwan could very easily be the exact same thing. But if you consider the advances made in weapons since then, it has one of two possabilities.
1 - Ten times the number dead (not just from the increased number of people there) and a much longer fight.
2 - Much quicker.
I personally think it would be a combination, it would last longer, but has the potential to be much more costly in terms fo a body count.
The need for a navy goes beyond just controling the Taiwan Straight as well. Think about, obviously Taiwan is an island so troops need to be gotten there some how. And how are they supposed to combat the US, if we do get involved and they do strike back at us, without a navy? I personally think it would be a bad idea for China to try to engage both the US and Taiwan (if it ever came to that) unless they had backing from a country that had a strong navy. Even if they have more people than the US, those people can't do a whole hell of a lot if they can't get to the US.
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The big problem for China is the US. I don't think troop transport is as difficult these days. If it has the naval power it can also launch an amphibious assault. It also has the ability to transport troops by air as well. I don't think Taiwan could hold out against China very long on its own.
China needs to do a couple things before it can think of taking back Taiwan, however. First, it needs to own the Taiwan Strait. I mean it needs to overwhelmingly own it, so that even the US wouldn't think of walking in there. Second, it needs to beef up not only its navy, but its space technology as well. In modern warfare, if you don't have a strong satellite presence you are blind. China needs to get more military satellites in orbit and it needs to be able to defend them. Right now China doesn't have the naval or space technology to take on the US, not even in the Taiwan Strait. China understands this and will continue to work to catch up in these areas. Until then, Taiwan has nothing to worry about.