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I think this 2257 shitstorm is going to be bigger than most assume.
And here is why I think that.
1. So far we've heard from very few programs that expect or already have their shit in order.
2. Not a peep out of webcam sites as to how they will or even if they can comply. For those that missed it, an article was posted that stated for a cam site to be compliant they would have to record every webcam stream that went through their system and save it for 7 years.
3. Haven't heard from most TGP owners about submitting with non hardcore thumbs. If they wait until the last day their archives will be non compliant.
4. I doubt the majority of webmasters with millions of pics on thousands of old galleries will just delete all files from their server and start over. I'm sure quite a few will just "risk it".
5. Everyone is all hot and bothered about an injunction. I don't think that most people are clear on the fact that even with an injunction they will still be breaking current laws. Therefore if the injunction is lifted at any time they could be prosecuted for breaking the law while the injunction was in place.
6. Not all of the new regulations go into effect on June 23rd. Everyone keeps using this as a deadline but that's only one the worst part of the regulations that take effect on that day. There are still many other parts that are law right now from what I understand. (Please correct me if I'm wrong)
7. Too many people here running around without a clue in the world.
8. The government has done some "sweep" type of arrests lately where they go after thousands of people at once. It will only take 1 of these sweeps about 2257 non compliance to cause widespread panic and chaos.
There are other reasons but I'll leave it at that. Your thoughts?
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